2024-01-15

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Wildcard Sunday

Baltimore over San Francisco

I'm a little worried that the rescheduled game in Buffalo is going to embolden the NFL to just do 2 games on Monday every year in wildcard weekend, much the way that 9/11 delayed the season and the Super Bowl by a week, planting it in February for the first time. Perhaps it should be the #5 at #4 so that at least one matchup can be determined by Sunday. I'd prefer a Sunday with 3 games though. I was pleased with both results yesterday, as Green Bay took down Dallas, and Detroit survived a comeback attempt by LA. Next week, Green Bay will travel to San Francisco, and Detroit will host the winner of tonight's Philadelphia vs Tampa Bay game. In the other game, Pittsburgh is playing for a chance to go to Baltimore (and send Houston to Kansas City), while Buffalo would get to host Kansas City (and send Houston to Baltimore).

So who am I rooting for Monday?

Pittsburgh at Buffalo (78%)
I usually root for Pittsburgh as one of my buddies' favorite teams, but I'll also be rooting for them this time to boost Kansas City's overall chances.

Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (54%)
I've never loved the Eagles, but I've always kind of liked them, dating back at least to when I had Donovan McNabb, Brian Westbrook, and Terrell Owens all on my fantasy football team. That must have been 2003 or 2004. So let's root for two upsets today.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL13-40.834++++++81.655.635.5
SF12-50.814++++++77.058.532.3
BUF11-60.750++++78.447.120.710.8
KC11-60.665++++++44.715.56.7
DET12-50.612++++++58.219.26.1
GB9-80.566-++++23.011.23.2
HOU10-70.548++++++23.57.02.3
TB9-80.550++++54.223.76.61.8
PHI11-60.509-++45.818.14.51.1
PIT10-70.453-++21.63.11.00.3
DAL12-50.805++++----
MIA11-60.669-++----
NO9-80.648------
CLE11-60.566-++----
LAR10-70.551-++----
JAX9-80.512------
LV8-90.502------
IND9-80.465------
CIN9-80.465------
MIN7-100.462------
CHI7-100.462------
SEA9-80.427------
LAC5-120.398------
DEN8-90.394------
ATL7-100.391------
TEN6-110.367------
NYJ7-100.303------
ARI4-130.279------
NYG6-110.221------
NE4-130.215------
WSH4-130.207------
CAR2-150.158------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Super Bowl win: Baltimore (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a first-round bye: Baltimore and San Francisco (Week 17, Final)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Saturday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 18, Saturday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 18, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Wildcard Saturday] Baltimore over San Francisco

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