Now some stuff is starting to happen. We had 3 teams clinch playoff spots, our first division winner declared, 4 playoff eliminations, and 6 division eliminations, all from just 11 games on Sunday. While Baltimore is still on top of the AFC, they looked pretty bad for at least the first half on Sunday night. Luckily for them Jacksonville was worse and for even longer, so they wound up winning the game by a respectable-looking 23-7. Speaking of Sunday night...
Belichick Watch!
Bill Belichick now has 163 career losses with 3 games to play. The record is 165, so it's definitely something he could break. Assuming no ties and no quitting/firing, here's his likelihood of finishing the season at each record.
| Record | Pct | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | 33.76 | Broken! |
| 1-2 | 46.64 | an unsatisfying tie |
| 2-1 | 17.97 | Maybe next year |
| 3-0 | 1.63 |
New England was so bad they flexed their game against Kansas City out of the Sunday night slot. They lost again, and he's now at a 33.76% chance of breaking the record, up from 26.51%, and also up to 46.64% to tie it, slightly up from 43.90%.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 11-3 | 0.791 | ++ | ++ | 93.9 | 68.3 | 45.7 | 27.5 |
| BAL | 11-3 | 0.771 | 92.3 | ++ | 92.3 | 63.9 | 40.5 | 22.5 |
| DAL | 10-4 | 0.755 | 26.8 | ++ | 73.6 | 48.0 | 26.8 | 14.9 |
| MIA | 10-4 | 0.721 | 68.2 | 98.8 | 70.5 | 42.1 | 22.0 | 10.9 |
| KC | 9-5 | 0.653 | 97.7 | 98.7 | 61.7 | 30.5 | 13.0 | 5.5 |
| BUF | 8-6 | 0.718 | 31.8 | 63.7 | 37.8 | 20.8 | 11.0 | 5.4 |
| DET | 10-4 | 0.586 | 92.1 | 100.0 | 56.4 | 22.6 | 7.9 | 2.9 |
| PHI | 10-3 | 0.536 | 73.2 | ++ | 62.8 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 2.3 |
| CLE | 9-5 | 0.541 | 7.7 | 93.5 | 44.3 | 14.9 | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| NO | 7-7 | 0.587 | 37.4 | 55.9 | 22.5 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| MIN | 7-7 | 0.546 | 7.9 | 62.2 | 26.9 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| JAX | 8-6 | 0.512 | 59.4 | 74.6 | 31.5 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| TB | 7-7 | 0.512 | 55.0 | 74.5 | 25.0 | 8.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| HOU | 8-6 | 0.522 | 21.0 | 54.6 | 22.3 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| LAR | 7-7 | 0.532 | - | 45.2 | 18.1 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| IND | 8-6 | 0.502 | 19.6 | 50.4 | 18.8 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| CIN | 8-6 | 0.492 | - | 42.2 | 14.4 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| GB | 6-8 | 0.498 | - | 25.2 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| SEA | 6-7 | 0.429 | - | 25.5 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| ATL | 6-8 | 0.455 | 7.6 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| DEN | 7-7 | 0.414 | 1.5 | 16.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| LV | 6-8 | 0.467 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| PIT | 7-7 | 0.367 | - | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 5-9 | 0.418 | - | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 5-9 | 0.214 | - | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LAC | 5-9 | 0.422 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - |
| TEN | 5-9 | 0.406 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 5-9 | 0.301 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 3-11 | 0.294 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WSH | 4-10 | 0.278 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NE | 3-11 | 0.251 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 2-12 | 0.233 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
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