I don't always look very far forward in the schedule, so I didn't realize San Francisco and Baltimore would be playing Monday Night until sometime this weekend. Both are still favored to win their conferences, but a nice tidy result is that Baltimore is now favored to win the rematch. The only other elimination yesterday was the New York Giants, who were holding onto slim playoff hopes at 5-9 but with a loss to Philadelphia, now take their proper place at the bottom of the chart, having the worst point differential in the league. The early game featured Kansas City, absolutely refusing to lock up their playoff spot and losing to Las Vegas. 2 more losses and 2 more wins by Vegas and/or Denver could leave Kansas City out of the playoffs completely. Of course, with 8 teams eliminated and 4 in single digit probabilities, so close they are probably already in offseason mode, games can get a little unpredictable in the last few weeks.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 12-3 | 0.791 | 96.9 | ++ | 94.1 | 66.4 | 42.7 | 25.2 |
| SF | 11-4 | 0.781 | ++ | ++ | 94.9 | 67.9 | 44.3 | 24.9 |
| DAL | 10-5 | 0.759 | 24.3 | ++ | 72.9 | 47.5 | 27.3 | 14.6 |
| MIA | 11-4 | 0.729 | 74.5 | ++ | 74.8 | 45.6 | 22.5 | 11.5 |
| BUF | 9-6 | 0.724 | 25.5 | 91.9 | 57.0 | 30.9 | 15.6 | 7.9 |
| KC | 9-6 | 0.644 | 95.6 | 96.8 | 46.7 | 20.9 | 8.3 | 3.5 |
| DET | 11-4 | 0.596 | ++ | ++ | 61.6 | 26.4 | 9.4 | 3.3 |
| PHI | 11-4 | 0.545 | 75.7 | ++ | 60.5 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 |
| CLE | 10-5 | 0.567 | 3.1 | 99.9 | 58.0 | 19.1 | 6.2 | 2.1 |
| TB | 8-7 | 0.550 | 89.7 | 89.8 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| LAR | 8-7 | 0.547 | - | 75.8 | 32.1 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| JAX | 8-7 | 0.477 | 64.5 | 77.1 | 28.7 | 7.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| MIN | 7-8 | 0.532 | - | 27.5 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| HOU | 8-7 | 0.494 | 18.8 | 39.6 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| SEA | 8-7 | 0.438 | - | 63.0 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| GB | 7-8 | 0.504 | - | 26.5 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| IND | 8-7 | 0.468 | 16.7 | 40.9 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| NO | 7-8 | 0.570 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| LV | 7-8 | 0.480 | 2.6 | 18.9 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| CIN | 8-7 | 0.447 | - | 17.9 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| ATL | 7-8 | 0.498 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| PIT | 8-7 | 0.420 | - | 13.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| DEN | 7-8 | 0.408 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 6-9 | 0.439 | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LAC | 5-10 | 0.418 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TEN | 5-10 | 0.399 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 6-9 | 0.311 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 3-12 | 0.274 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WSH | 4-11 | 0.274 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NE | 4-11 | 0.257 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 2-13 | 0.231 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 5-10 | 0.204 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
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