Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 3, Thursday

San Francisco over Baltimore

It feels like there should be an asterisk here, but San Francisco has taken over the NFC lead. They are, of course, one of only 2 teams to play 3 games, so at 3-0 are currently more likely than the 2-0 teams to win. In the AFC, nothing changes of course, as the only thing an NFC cross-divisional matchup could really affect is a very late tiebreaker.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	3-0	0.572	67.4	83.3	56.8	31.6	17.5	9.8
DAL	2-0	0.558	44.0	72.3	46.3	24.9	13.3	7.3
BAL	2-0	0.535	51.5	75.7	49.9	26.6	14.1	7.1
MIA	2-0	0.514	45.8	71.2	44.7	22.7	11.5	5.6
ATL	2-0	0.529	36.6	67.6	40.5	20.4	10.2	5.3
BUF	1-1	0.538	29.7	58.1	35.6	19.0	10.1	5.2
CLE	1-1	0.535	28.7	57.8	35.2	18.7	9.9	5.0
TB	2-0	0.526	30.8	62.7	36.8	18.4	9.2	4.7
KC	1-1	0.518	42.0	58.6	34.6	17.7	9.0	4.4
PHI	2-0	0.518	27.4	58.7	33.6	16.5	8.1	4.1
NO	2-0	0.510	30.1	60.0	33.8	16.3	7.8	3.9
GB	1-1	0.526	46.0	55.8	30.5	15.2	7.5	3.9
WSH	2-0	0.510	26.1	57.1	32.1	15.5	7.4	3.7
TEN	1-1	0.504	31.2	51.4	29.3	14.5	7.2	3.4
JAX	1-1	0.504	31.6	49.1	27.3	13.6	6.7	3.2
IND	1-1	0.502	28.7	48.8	27.2	13.4	6.6	3.1
LAR	1-1	0.518	15.9	41.1	22.0	10.8	5.3	2.7
DET	1-1	0.492	29.4	38.7	19.4	9.0	4.1	2.0
NYJ	1-1	0.471	17.3	40.0	20.9	9.6	4.4	2.0
PIT	1-1	0.465	15.8	38.8	19.9	9.1	4.1	1.8
DEN	0-2	0.495	16.3	29.1	15.3	7.4	3.6	1.7
LV	1-1	0.454	24.1	37.8	18.6	8.3	3.7	1.6
LAC	0-2	0.493	17.6	27.7	14.3	6.9	3.3	1.6
SEA	1-1	0.483	10.7	29.4	14.5	6.6	3.0	1.4
NE	0-2	0.477	7.3	22.7	11.5	5.4	2.5	1.1
MIN	0-2	0.484	15.3	21.0	10.0	4.5	2.1	1.0
ARI	0-2	0.487	6.0	15.5	7.5	3.4	1.6	0.8
HOU	0-2	0.456	8.4	17.8	8.4	3.7	1.7	0.7
CIN	0-2	0.456	4.0	15.5	7.4	3.3	1.5	0.6
CHI	0-2	0.460	9.3	14.6	6.6	2.8	1.2	0.5
CAR	0-2	0.463	2.4	11.2	5.1	2.2	1.0	0.4
NYG	1-2	0.426	2.6	11.0	4.6	1.8	0.7	0.3

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore