Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 12, Sunday

Baltimore over San Francisco

We're being a little unfair to San Francisco simply because they've had their bye already and Baltimore hasn't, but the projection has flipped back again. Arizona has been eliminated from winning the NFC West by virtue of their 10th loss, but no one is mathematically out of the playoffs yet. Philadelphia won a close game in overtime, and is up to four nines in their playoff chances.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	9-3	0.736	77.1	99.1	79.1	52.9	34.0	19.6
SF	8-3	0.729	98.6	99.8	78.2	50.5	30.6	17.9
DAL	8-3	0.736	16.5	99.5	75.4	47.8	29.5	17.5
KC	8-3	0.652	97.5	99.2	76.6	43.2	21.6	10.3
PHI	10-1	0.606	83.5	100.0	86.3	43.6	18.3	8.2
MIA	8-3	0.635	88.4	95.9	61.5	31.5	15.3	7.0
JAX	8-3	0.557	87.3	96.9	54.8	22.8	9.1	3.5
DET	8-3	0.562	72.6	95.8	49.7	18.9	7.6	3.1
CLE	7-4	0.563	14.8	82.2	39.0	16.3	6.8	2.6
MIN	6-5	0.545	24.6	80.1	36.2	13.7	5.2	2.0
BUF	6-6	0.675	11.5	23.6	13.6	7.2	3.9	2.0
HOU	6-5	0.552	7.4	54.8	23.8	9.5	3.9	1.5
GB	5-6	0.515	2.8	48.8	18.6	6.7	2.4	0.9
NO	5-6	0.515	39.0	47.0	16.0	5.8	2.2	0.8
IND	6-5	0.502	5.3	47.2	18.0	6.3	2.3	0.8
PIT	7-4	0.444	8.1	62.8	21.1	6.4	2.0	0.6
ATL	5-6	0.459	45.8	50.5	14.0	4.5	1.5	0.5
SEA	6-5	0.460	0.7	37.3	12.6	4.0	1.2	0.4
LAR	5-6	0.496	0.7	20.4	7.1	2.5	0.9	0.3
DEN	6-5	0.439	1.7	27.7	8.9	2.7	0.8	0.2
TB	4-7	0.467	15.3	20.2	5.8	1.9	0.6	0.2
LAC	4-7	0.520	0.6	5.2	2.1	0.7	0.3	0.1
CIN	5-6	0.438	0.0	3.0	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0
LV	5-7	0.381	0.2	1.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
TEN	4-7	0.411	0.1	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
CHI	3-8	0.399	0.0	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYJ	4-7	0.336	0.0	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
WSH	4-8	0.331	-	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYG	4-8	0.248	-	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
CAR	1-10	0.290	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NE	2-9	0.292	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
ARI	2-10	0.297	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore