2023-12-05

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 13, Final

San Francisco over Baltimore.

Jacksonville lost to Cincinnati in overtime on Monday. It would appear I cursed both them and Kansas City by declaring all AFC Division winners could be 9-3.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF9-30.75699.3100.084.857.936.822.4
BAL9-30.73788.599.382.655.235.019.4
DAL9-30.74229.199.977.750.430.117.8
MIA9-30.67593.698.473.442.522.210.7
KC8-40.63895.198.168.436.016.97.5
PHI10-20.56870.9100.074.933.212.04.8
DET9-30.56986.298.454.320.98.03.3
JAX8-40.55069.293.449.019.47.52.7
HOU7-50.56217.874.033.913.65.52.1
BUF6-60.6756.422.212.46.53.51.7
CLE7-50.5277.369.629.310.84.01.4
GB6-60.5315.069.428.210.23.71.3
MIN6-60.5438.858.724.99.13.41.3
IND7-50.50713.064.525.68.93.21.0
LAR6-60.5300.735.313.24.81.80.7
ATL6-60.46960.163.118.65.91.90.6
NO5-70.50419.225.58.32.91.00.3
TB5-70.47420.726.68.02.60.80.3
PIT7-50.4104.244.113.13.51.00.2
LAC5-70.5332.39.13.81.40.50.2
SEA6-60.4510.122.16.92.00.60.2
DEN6-60.4292.215.54.81.30.40.1
CIN6-60.4460.110.13.20.90.30.1
LV5-70.3810.41.50.40.10.00.0
CHI4-80.3980.00.80.20.00.00.0
TEN4-80.4080.00.10.00.00.00.0
NYJ4-80.319-0.10.00.00.00.0
NYG4-80.248-0.20.00.00.00.0
WSH4-90.291-0.00.00.00.00.0
ARI3-100.312-0.00.00.00.0-
CAR1-110.280------
NE2-100.266-0.0----

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore

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