Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 4, Sunday

San Francisco over Buffalo

Once again, division rivalries are weird. Miami followed up their 70 points last week with a loss this week, although at least it was to a pretty good Buffalo team. Buffalo is so good, in fact, that they are now the AFC favorite. They also join San Francisco and Dallas as the first teams to cross the 10% mark for winning it all. 

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	4-0	0.596	76.1	92.5	67.9	38.8	21.6	11.7
BUF	3-1	0.604	62.0	87.3	61.5	35.4	20.0	11.0
DAL	3-1	0.609	48.2	82.0	55.9	32.5	18.5	10.3
KC	3-1	0.577	70.5	85.8	57.8	31.3	16.6	8.7
BAL	3-1	0.578	67.2	84.5	55.6	30.2	16.0	8.4
PHI	4-0	0.545	45.4	84.1	52.9	26.7	13.2	6.5
DET	3-1	0.541	63.2	76.8	44.4	22.1	10.8	5.3
MIA	3-1	0.539	32.5	75.1	44.0	21.7	10.6	5.2
TB	3-1	0.536	59.8	74.2	42.1	20.6	9.9	4.8
CLE	2-2	0.540	22.3	56.8	30.8	15.1	7.4	3.6
HOU	2-2	0.533	33.2	57.3	31.0	14.9	7.2	3.4
LAR	2-2	0.525	9.9	44.2	22.9	10.8	5.1	2.4
IND	2-2	0.496	25.8	49.9	25.0	11.1	4.9	2.2
GB	2-2	0.507	23.4	46.5	23.1	10.5	4.8	2.2
TEN	2-2	0.505	22.7	44.2	22.5	10.2	4.6	2.1
LAC	2-2	0.510	21.6	42.0	21.2	9.7	4.5	2.0
SEA	2-1	0.498	11.6	45.1	22.7	10.1	4.5	2.0
JAX	2-2	0.496	18.3	37.5	18.3	8.1	3.6	1.6
ATL	2-2	0.463	20.9	37.5	16.8	6.9	2.8	1.2
NO	2-2	0.465	17.8	34.1	15.2	6.3	2.6	1.1
MIN	1-3	0.491	11.8	23.4	10.9	4.8	2.1	0.9
WSH	2-2	0.451	4.3	25.1	10.9	4.3	1.7	0.7
PIT	2-2	0.428	9.1	26.5	10.9	4.1	1.6	0.6
ARI	1-3	0.475	2.3	14.5	6.4	2.7	1.2	0.5
NYJ	1-3	0.450	3.3	14.9	6.3	2.5	1.0	0.4
NYG	1-2	0.426	2.1	13.1	5.2	1.9	0.7	0.3
DEN	1-3	0.436	3.7	9.9	4.0	1.6	0.6	0.2
NE	1-3	0.419	2.1	11.5	4.5	1.7	0.6	0.2
LV	1-3	0.427	4.1	10.7	4.3	1.6	0.6	0.2
CIN	1-3	0.412	1.4	6.2	2.4	0.8	0.3	0.1
CHI	0-4	0.416	1.6	4.0	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.1
CAR	0-4	0.435	1.5	3.0	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami