2023-10-09

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 5, Sunday

San Francisco over Kansas City

San Francisco beat Dallas, one of the stronger teams in the NFC, which solidified their position at the top both because they won by 32, and because they knocked down strong rival. In the AFC, Buffalo lost to Jacksonville while Kansas City eked out a win over Minnesota. Kansas City has a 1.5 game lead in their division, while Buffalo is now a game behind Miami, so Buffalo and Miami are both strong teams but canceling each other out a little, clearing the way for the new AFC favorite.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF5-00.62883.497.477.245.826.615.2
KC4-10.58978.791.265.836.519.710.3
BUF3-20.61347.381.054.631.618.09.8
PHI5-00.56267.393.360.530.915.17.6
MIA4-10.56046.283.553.327.514.06.9
DET4-10.56674.186.150.525.612.76.4
BAL3-20.57449.471.242.922.711.86.0
DAL3-20.59030.569.139.821.111.05.9
TB3-10.53643.768.836.317.07.93.8
NO3-20.54935.562.633.015.87.63.7
SEA3-10.53413.564.333.715.67.33.5
CLE2-20.54027.053.729.114.26.83.2
IND3-20.50939.664.734.215.67.03.1
HOU2-30.53021.243.622.610.75.12.3
JAX3-20.50628.551.425.911.75.22.3
GB2-20.50719.146.721.89.54.21.9
LAC2-20.51016.939.419.79.04.11.8
ATL3-20.46920.543.518.77.43.01.2
LAR2-30.5082.728.112.95.62.51.1
TEN2-30.48810.726.612.55.42.31.0
PIT3-20.43319.740.417.16.52.40.9
NYJ2-30.4746.024.911.24.72.00.8
MIN1-40.4774.612.15.12.10.90.4
CIN2-30.4353.911.14.51.70.70.2
WSH2-30.4241.912.14.61.60.60.2
LV1-30.4273.09.53.81.40.50.2
CHI1-40.4362.26.92.71.00.40.1
ARI1-40.4510.35.82.30.90.30.1
DEN1-40.4211.34.01.50.60.20.1
NE1-40.3740.53.81.30.40.10.0
NYG1-40.3720.32.20.70.20.10.0
CAR0-50.4130.30.80.30.10.00.0

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo

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