Buffalo is quietly creeping back up the charts with another win on Thursday over Tampa Bay. They're still third in the AFC behind Kansas City and Baltimore though. As a side effect, San Francisco is the overall most likely champion again, partially because the NFC is now weaker overall, and partially because their game against Tampa Bay is now against a team projected to be weaker than they were last week.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 5-2 | 0.648 | 74.7 | 95.0 | 71.2 | 43.7 | 26.1 | 14.4 |
| KC | 6-1 | 0.634 | 97.0 | 98.8 | 80.2 | 46.2 | 25.4 | 14.2 |
| BAL | 5-2 | 0.641 | 62.9 | 90.0 | 60.9 | 34.9 | 19.3 | 10.9 |
| BUF | 5-3 | 0.646 | 49.0 | 80.4 | 51.4 | 29.2 | 16.4 | 9.3 |
| PHI | 6-1 | 0.580 | 64.3 | 96.9 | 69.0 | 36.5 | 18.4 | 8.8 |
| DAL | 4-2 | 0.599 | 34.9 | 82.1 | 52.0 | 28.2 | 14.9 | 7.4 |
| MIA | 5-2 | 0.573 | 40.5 | 78.2 | 44.4 | 21.5 | 10.2 | 5.0 |
| DET | 5-2 | 0.542 | 73.5 | 87.7 | 50.3 | 24.0 | 11.1 | 4.9 |
| SEA | 4-2 | 0.550 | 20.1 | 71.7 | 39.8 | 19.1 | 9.1 | 4.1 |
| JAX | 5-2 | 0.550 | 58.3 | 78.6 | 42.0 | 19.1 | 8.6 | 4.1 |
| CLE | 4-2 | 0.539 | 21.6 | 66.1 | 33.0 | 14.6 | 6.4 | 3.0 |
| HOU | 3-3 | 0.545 | 29.6 | 55.0 | 27.4 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 2.5 |
| NO | 3-4 | 0.514 | 32.1 | 46.3 | 21.8 | 9.5 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| LAR | 3-4 | 0.529 | 5.2 | 36.9 | 17.9 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
| MIN | 3-4 | 0.498 | 16.2 | 41.1 | 18.7 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| ATL | 4-3 | 0.456 | 46.1 | 57.7 | 23.8 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| TB | 3-4 | 0.483 | 21.4 | 34.3 | 14.8 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| GB | 2-4 | 0.496 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| PIT | 4-2 | 0.447 | 13.9 | 47.2 | 18.7 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| NYJ | 3-3 | 0.487 | 10.2 | 32.8 | 13.8 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| IND | 3-4 | 0.479 | 7.7 | 28.6 | 11.6 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| LAC | 2-4 | 0.481 | 1.7 | 11.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| TEN | 2-4 | 0.470 | 4.5 | 11.6 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| CHI | 2-5 | 0.448 | 2.5 | 8.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| CIN | 3-3 | 0.440 | 1.6 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| WSH | 3-4 | 0.413 | 0.7 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| LV | 3-4 | 0.399 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| NE | 2-5 | 0.360 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| DEN | 2-5 | 0.395 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 2-5 | 0.338 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CAR | 0-6 | 0.388 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ARI | 1-6 | 0.400 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
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