2023-11-07

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 9, Final

Baltimore over Philadelphia

Monday's win by the LA Chargers over the New York Jets didn't move the needle for Baltimore at all, and the projection stands.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL7-20.69877.997.176.548.629.818.5
KC7-20.63390.897.573.340.720.711.4
PHI8-10.59686.099.984.245.823.711.1
SF5-30.63575.292.360.735.219.910.2
DAL5-30.62414.089.054.630.316.88.4
DET6-20.56571.793.554.026.412.75.6
BUF5-40.64238.659.934.918.49.75.4
MIA6-30.58954.078.943.420.69.64.8
JAX6-20.57271.286.148.922.29.84.8
CLE5-30.58713.871.537.917.88.34.2
NO5-40.55166.477.639.018.28.53.6
MIN5-40.53125.274.535.815.97.12.9
SEA5-30.49223.468.430.412.45.11.9
HOU4-40.54320.745.521.38.93.71.7
LAC4-40.5497.832.715.26.52.81.3
GB3-50.5023.027.311.94.92.10.8
CIN5-30.4853.032.012.94.61.70.7
TB3-50.48112.525.410.44.11.70.6
ATL4-50.44420.931.911.94.31.60.5
PIT5-30.4315.441.114.44.51.40.5
IND4-50.4844.724.69.53.41.20.5
NYJ4-40.4437.416.46.01.90.60.2
TEN3-50.4733.48.03.11.10.40.1
WSH4-50.4070.011.13.81.20.40.1
LAR3-60.4471.47.22.71.00.40.1
LV4-50.4201.25.71.90.60.20.1
DEN3-50.4100.22.80.90.30.10.0
CHI2-70.4060.21.40.50.20.10.0
CAR1-70.3570.20.30.10.00.00.0
NE2-70.3280.00.20.00.00.00.0
NYG2-70.2860.00.20.00.00.00.0
ARI1-80.3430.00.10.00.00.00.0

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia

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