2023-09-18

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 2, Sunday

Dallas over Baltimore

Cleveland loses their top spot to Baltimore, albeit because they haven't played yet this week. Dallas now stands alone at the top, having beaten the 2 New York (City) teams by a combined 70-10.

The imbalance between the conferences really gives some odd numbers if you dig in deep, although being week 2, that's really unnecessary. For example, Chicago, at 0-2, still has a 9% shot at the NFC North, but Cincinnati and Houston, while slightly weaker, have a much lower chance of winning their divisions, but a much higher chance at a wildcard spot, putting their playoff odds above Chicago.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DAL2-00.55843.172.347.425.814.07.7
BAL2-00.53548.175.949.926.514.17.2
SF2-00.54655.971.845.324.012.76.8
CLE1-00.52937.967.442.422.211.65.9
ATL2-00.52939.068.041.821.410.95.6
MIA2-00.51445.670.943.922.311.35.6
BUF1-10.53829.757.935.118.810.05.2
TB2-00.52633.163.238.019.39.85.0
KC1-10.51842.158.734.417.68.94.4
PHI2-00.51826.458.334.117.08.44.3
GB1-10.52645.555.430.815.67.84.0
WSH2-00.51025.156.732.615.97.83.9
TEN1-10.50431.051.229.014.47.13.4
JAX1-10.50532.049.427.513.66.73.3
IND1-10.50228.648.727.013.36.53.1
NO1-00.50321.847.326.112.66.03.0
LAR1-10.51821.342.423.211.55.72.9
DET1-10.49229.538.919.89.34.42.1
NYJ1-10.47117.439.920.79.54.42.0
DEN0-20.49516.529.315.37.43.61.7
LAC0-20.49317.727.814.36.93.31.6
SEA1-10.48314.330.915.57.23.31.6
LV1-10.45423.737.218.28.13.61.5
PIT0-10.47110.530.015.47.13.31.5
NE0-20.4777.322.411.25.22.41.1
MIN0-20.48415.621.410.44.82.21.0
CAR0-10.4756.220.39.94.52.00.9
ARI0-20.4878.517.08.33.91.80.9
NYG1-10.4515.421.29.94.21.80.8
HOU0-20.4568.417.78.33.71.70.7
CIN0-20.4563.515.57.43.31.50.6
CHI0-20.4609.414.86.72.91.30.6


[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland

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