With only 4 regular season gamedays left, stuff's going to start happening fast. For example, last night we had one game, and one clinch, with Cleveland now guaranteed a playoff spot. It'll probably be a wildcard, but they have a 4% chance of taking the NFC North away from Baltimore. Speaking of them, notice that San Francisco is on top of the charts but Baltimore is still listed as my projected winner. That's because I sort by chances to win the Super Bowl, which has San Francisco on top (24.93% to 24.90%) with a (currently) easier path, but Baltimore is the stronger team and would be favored in a matchup.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 11-4 | 0.781 | ++ | ++ | 94.9 | 67.9 | 44.3 | 24.9 |
| BAL | 12-3 | 0.791 | 95.7 | ++ | 94.2 | 65.7 | 42.2 | 24.9 |
| DAL | 10-5 | 0.759 | 24.3 | ++ | 73.0 | 47.5 | 27.3 | 14.6 |
| MIA | 11-4 | 0.729 | 74.5 | ++ | 74.3 | 44.7 | 22.1 | 11.3 |
| BUF | 9-6 | 0.724 | 25.5 | 92.1 | 57.0 | 30.6 | 15.5 | 7.8 |
| KC | 9-6 | 0.644 | 95.6 | 96.9 | 45.9 | 20.3 | 8.1 | 3.4 |
| DET | 11-4 | 0.596 | ++ | ++ | 61.6 | 26.4 | 9.4 | 3.3 |
| CLE | 11-5 | 0.598 | 4.3 | ++ | 62.0 | 22.3 | 7.8 | 2.9 |
| PHI | 11-4 | 0.545 | 75.7 | ++ | 60.5 | 23.6 | 7.2 | 2.2 |
| TB | 8-7 | 0.550 | 89.7 | 89.8 | 30.0 | 11.4 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| LAR | 8-7 | 0.547 | - | 75.8 | 32.1 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| JAX | 8-7 | 0.477 | 64.5 | 77.4 | 27.1 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| MIN | 7-8 | 0.532 | - | 27.4 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| SEA | 8-7 | 0.438 | - | 63.0 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| HOU | 8-7 | 0.494 | 18.8 | 39.7 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| GB | 7-8 | 0.504 | - | 26.5 | 10.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| IND | 8-7 | 0.468 | 16.7 | 41.2 | 12.4 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| NO | 7-8 | 0.570 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| LV | 7-8 | 0.480 | 2.6 | 19.0 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| CIN | 8-7 | 0.447 | - | 17.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| ATL | 7-8 | 0.498 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| PIT | 8-7 | 0.420 | - | 13.0 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| DEN | 7-8 | 0.408 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 6-9 | 0.439 | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LAC | 5-10 | 0.418 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TEN | 5-10 | 0.398 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 6-10 | 0.282 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ARI | 3-12 | 0.274 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WSH | 4-11 | 0.274 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NE | 4-11 | 0.257 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 2-13 | 0.231 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 5-10 | 0.204 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
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