San Francisco lost their Monday night game, and likely would have been the first team to a 99% playoff chance with a win. Because they are still a stronger team than Kansas City (.648 to .634), the projection does not flip, even though KC is now the most likely champion overall.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 6-1 | 0.634 | 97.0 | 98.8 | 81.0 | 47.1 | 26.1 | 14.6 |
| SF | 5-2 | 0.648 | 74.5 | 94.7 | 70.7 | 43.4 | 25.9 | 14.4 |
| BAL | 5-2 | 0.641 | 62.9 | 90.4 | 61.5 | 35.6 | 19.9 | 11.2 |
| PHI | 6-1 | 0.580 | 64.3 | 96.8 | 68.9 | 36.5 | 18.4 | 8.9 |
| DAL | 4-2 | 0.599 | 34.9 | 81.6 | 51.7 | 28.0 | 14.8 | 7.5 |
| BUF | 4-3 | 0.632 | 40.9 | 71.9 | 44.2 | 24.4 | 13.4 | 7.5 |
| MIA | 5-2 | 0.573 | 46.7 | 79.2 | 45.7 | 22.4 | 10.7 | 5.3 |
| DET | 5-2 | 0.542 | 73.6 | 87.5 | 50.1 | 23.9 | 11.1 | 4.9 |
| JAX | 5-2 | 0.550 | 58.3 | 79.1 | 42.6 | 19.6 | 8.8 | 4.2 |
| SEA | 4-2 | 0.550 | 20.2 | 71.0 | 39.3 | 18.8 | 9.0 | 4.1 |
| CLE | 4-2 | 0.539 | 21.6 | 66.9 | 33.7 | 15.1 | 6.7 | 3.1 |
| HOU | 3-3 | 0.545 | 29.6 | 55.6 | 27.9 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 2.6 |
| NO | 3-4 | 0.514 | 28.8 | 44.1 | 20.7 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| LAR | 3-4 | 0.529 | 5.2 | 36.2 | 17.5 | 7.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| TB | 3-3 | 0.497 | 28.4 | 44.1 | 20.0 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| MIN | 3-4 | 0.498 | 16.2 | 40.2 | 18.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| ATL | 4-3 | 0.456 | 42.4 | 55.4 | 22.9 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| NYJ | 3-3 | 0.487 | 12.1 | 34.1 | 14.5 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| PIT | 4-2 | 0.447 | 13.9 | 48.2 | 19.3 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| GB | 2-4 | 0.496 | 7.7 | 26.9 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| IND | 3-4 | 0.479 | 7.7 | 29.2 | 12.0 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| LAC | 2-4 | 0.481 | 1.7 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| TEN | 2-4 | 0.470 | 4.5 | 11.9 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| CIN | 3-3 | 0.440 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| CHI | 2-5 | 0.448 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| WSH | 3-4 | 0.413 | 0.7 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| LV | 3-4 | 0.399 | 1.2 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| NE | 2-5 | 0.360 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| DEN | 2-5 | 0.395 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 2-5 | 0.338 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ARI | 1-6 | 0.400 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CAR | 0-6 | 0.388 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
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