Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 15, Thursday

San Francisco over Baltimore.

We had quite a game on thursday, as Las Vegas defeated LA 63-21. However, they had a combined 3.2% chance at the playoffs and less than 1% at winning the AFC West. Las Vegas raised their strength number significantly and now has a 1.2% chance at catching Kansas City and Denver for the division. In short, nothing changes at the top.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	10-3	0.776	100.0	++	90.7	65.5	41.1	25.7
DAL	10-3	0.769	47.3	100.0	80.5	56.6	33.7	20.7
BAL	10-3	0.742	90.3	99.8	89.7	61.3	39.1	20.5
MIA	9-4	0.675	75.8	95.6	66.2	37.9	19.4	8.6
KC	8-5	0.634	89.6	97.0	63.2	32.4	14.7	6.0
BUF	7-6	0.684	24.2	47.3	28.0	15.1	8.0	3.7
PHI	10-3	0.536	52.7	100.0	63.7	24.2	7.3	2.7
JAX	8-5	0.541	79.8	90.3	46.3	17.7	6.5	2.1
DET	9-4	0.545	72.7	96.8	48.9	16.8	5.5	2.1
CLE	8-5	0.534	8.9	86.3	39.7	14.8	5.5	1.7
MIN	7-6	0.553	23.8	76.7	36.0	12.4	4.3	1.6
NO	6-7	0.549	33.2	42.3	16.2	5.7	2.1	0.8
GB	6-7	0.527	3.5	48.2	19.8	6.3	2.1	0.8
HOU	7-6	0.516	11.2	47.4	19.7	6.8	2.4	0.7
TB	6-7	0.483	35.1	45.0	15.1	4.5	1.3	0.4
IND	7-6	0.472	8.8	40.2	14.6	4.4	1.4	0.4
LAR	6-7	0.517	0.0	28.0	10.1	3.1	1.1	0.4
DEN	7-6	0.458	9.2	39.8	14.0	4.2	1.3	0.3
ATL	6-7	0.461	31.7	38.1	11.9	3.4	0.9	0.3
CIN	7-6	0.486	0.0	25.0	9.1	2.8	1.0	0.3
PIT	7-6	0.404	0.8	25.4	7.4	1.8	0.5	0.1
SEA	6-7	0.429	-	20.3	6.1	1.3	0.4	0.1
LV	6-8	0.467	1.2	4.8	1.7	0.5	0.2	0.0
CHI	5-8	0.425	-	3.5	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0
TEN	5-8	0.413	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYJ	5-8	0.367	-	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
NYG	5-8	0.247	-	1.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
LAC	5-9	0.422	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
WSH	4-9	0.291	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
ARI	3-10	0.312	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
NE	3-10	0.268	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	1-12	0.244	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore