2023-12-24

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 16, Saturday

San Francisco over Baltimore.

I'm not sure I'm a fan of these Saturday games, but it's a little more allowable on a holiday weekend. Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati to stay alive in the playoff race, and Buffalo eliminated the LA Chargers with a 2-point win.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF11-30.791++++97.572.447.928.8
BAL11-30.77191.0++91.862.639.421.7
DAL10-40.75542.6++74.749.927.014.9
MIA10-40.72162.498.968.940.421.110.3
BUF9-60.72437.679.547.626.414.16.9
KC9-50.65397.898.960.830.012.75.3
DET10-40.58692.199.756.623.57.92.9
PHI10-40.53157.4++54.719.85.71.8
CLE9-50.5419.093.844.715.04.81.5
LAR8-70.547-77.633.49.73.51.2
JAX8-60.51259.477.932.39.93.00.9
MIN7-70.5467.954.523.67.22.50.8
TB7-70.51268.271.625.48.32.50.8
HOU8-60.52221.055.522.47.02.20.7
IND8-60.50219.654.920.26.11.80.5
NO7-80.57021.524.39.93.71.30.5
GB6-80.498-20.07.61.90.60.2
SEA7-70.433-39.912.82.60.70.2
ATL6-80.45510.311.83.61.00.30.1
CIN8-70.447-11.33.30.80.20.1
DEN7-70.4141.515.94.31.00.20.1
PIT8-70.420-10.22.70.60.20.0
LV6-80.4670.73.31.00.20.10.0
CHI5-90.418-0.40.10.00.00.0
NYG5-90.214-0.20.00.00.00.0
LAC5-100.418------
TEN5-90.406------
NYJ5-90.301------
ARI3-110.294------
WSH4-100.278------
NE3-110.251------
CAR2-120.233------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore

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