This might be one of the best sets of games on Thanksgiving since they started having 3 games in 2006. San Francisco and Dallas, two teams that have both been projected to win the NFC this year, both won. Dallas won by a huge margin, 45-10, and while watching the game I kept thinking about how high that blowout would lift them. As it turns out, not quite past San Francisco, because they are still fighting for their lives to win the NFC East. Even though Dallas is the strongest team, they can't get the first round bye without winning the division, which is a huge boost to later-round playoff chances. Detroit came into the day in first place - sort of a rare occurrence - and lost, but remained in first place. I would flag the fact that Baltimore hasn't played this week as a caveat to San Francisco now being the favorite, but both teams are 8-3, so it's all fair.
Also, we have our first division eliminations, Washington and New York in the NFC East. New York could still sweep Philadelphia and tie them at 9-8, but that would require Dallas to beat Philadelphia and also be 9-8, dropping to the three team tiebreaker that would make them lose.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 8-3 | 0.730 | 99.0 | 99.9 | 81.1 | 53.0 | 31.9 | 19.3 |
| DAL | 8-3 | 0.736 | 27.7 | 99.5 | 75.2 | 48.3 | 29.5 | 18.1 |
| BAL | 8-3 | 0.715 | 59.3 | 97.3 | 73.9 | 47.5 | 29.8 | 16.3 |
| KC | 7-3 | 0.628 | 92.9 | 96.3 | 67.2 | 35.7 | 17.6 | 7.9 |
| PHI | 9-1 | 0.605 | 72.3 | 100.0 | 79.6 | 39.3 | 16.4 | 7.7 |
| CLE | 7-3 | 0.597 | 36.2 | 93.5 | 55.9 | 26.8 | 12.4 | 5.2 |
| MIA | 7-3 | 0.603 | 69.7 | 89.0 | 51.4 | 25.0 | 11.8 | 5.0 |
| BUF | 6-5 | 0.684 | 29.6 | 48.7 | 29.0 | 16.6 | 9.3 | 4.8 |
| DET | 8-3 | 0.562 | 73.3 | 96.6 | 50.0 | 19.3 | 7.6 | 3.2 |
| JAX | 7-3 | 0.552 | 59.2 | 87.9 | 46.0 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 |
| HOU | 6-4 | 0.558 | 35.4 | 70.8 | 34.9 | 14.9 | 6.3 | 2.4 |
| MIN | 6-5 | 0.545 | 24.0 | 79.9 | 35.7 | 13.4 | 5.1 | 2.1 |
| NO | 5-5 | 0.534 | 59.6 | 67.8 | 25.9 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| GB | 5-6 | 0.515 | 2.7 | 49.1 | 18.8 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| IND | 5-5 | 0.489 | 5.3 | 32.9 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| SEA | 6-5 | 0.460 | 0.7 | 41.0 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| TB | 4-6 | 0.482 | 20.8 | 30.6 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| PIT | 6-4 | 0.431 | 4.3 | 42.4 | 14.4 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| LAC | 4-6 | 0.537 | 3.2 | 11.9 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| ATL | 4-6 | 0.441 | 19.6 | 24.6 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| CIN | 5-5 | 0.452 | 0.2 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| LAR | 4-6 | 0.448 | 0.3 | 10.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| DEN | 5-5 | 0.411 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| LV | 5-6 | 0.409 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| NYJ | 4-6 | 0.375 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| TEN | 3-7 | 0.399 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 3-8 | 0.399 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| WSH | 4-8 | 0.331 | - | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 3-8 | 0.260 | - | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ARI | 2-9 | 0.331 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NE | 2-8 | 0.309 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CAR | 1-9 | 0.309 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
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