2023-10-16

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 6, Sunday

San Francisco over Kansas City

San Francisco lost but thanks to their immense strength advantage, they're still the most likely Superbowl champ and the NFC favorite.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF5-10.64281.897.076.346.327.315.4
KC5-10.61384.594.470.439.721.611.6
BUF4-20.63346.884.257.033.118.810.5
DET5-10.59386.995.164.435.118.19.3
MIA5-10.58546.886.956.629.615.17.7
BAL4-20.59051.575.545.523.812.26.2
PHI5-10.55658.891.055.827.613.16.2
DAL3-20.59036.972.042.122.011.35.8
JAX4-20.53947.268.335.916.67.63.5
CLE3-20.54430.159.431.314.66.83.2
HOU3-30.54532.554.628.213.26.12.9
SEA3-20.53010.255.928.312.85.82.6
NO3-30.53336.055.327.812.65.72.6
LAR3-30.5427.951.425.811.95.62.6
TB3-20.50541.358.727.911.85.02.1
GB2-30.5007.636.816.67.03.01.2
LAC2-20.51011.132.115.26.62.91.2
IND3-30.47915.038.916.96.72.71.1
NYJ3-30.4876.430.013.25.42.20.9
ATL3-30.45122.436.214.75.42.00.8
MIN2-40.4884.920.79.03.71.50.6
PIT3-20.43314.534.113.54.81.70.6
WSH3-30.4314.222.68.73.11.10.4
TEN2-40.4705.312.15.01.90.80.3
LV3-30.4334.215.66.02.10.80.3
CIN3-30.4403.912.24.81.70.60.2
CHI1-50.4230.63.41.20.40.20.1
ARI1-50.4210.12.10.70.30.10.0
DEN1-50.3990.10.80.30.10.00.0
NYG1-50.3500.21.40.40.10.00.0
NE1-50.3590.10.90.30.10.00.0
CAR0-60.3880.30.50.20.10.00.0

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City

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