2023-10-10

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 5, Final

San Francisco over Kansas City

It's going to take me a long time to see the Raiders and instantly think "Las Vegas". Probably even longer than it takes not to see the Chargers and want to call them San Diego. Vegas beat Green Bay on Monday night, to bring both teams to 2-3 and nowhere near affecting the top of the standings, except very slightly lowering Kansas City's division-winning chances.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF5-00.62883.497.677.446.026.715.3
KC4-10.58977.790.865.636.419.710.2
BUF3-20.61347.380.854.531.518.09.8
PHI5-00.56267.393.760.831.015.27.7
MIA4-10.56046.283.253.227.514.06.8
DET4-10.56679.287.751.426.112.96.6
DAL3-20.59030.570.140.421.411.26.0
BAL3-20.57449.370.942.822.611.85.9
TB3-10.53643.870.037.017.38.03.8
NO3-20.54935.463.933.616.17.73.8
SEA3-10.53413.565.434.215.87.43.5
CLE2-20.54026.953.328.914.16.83.2
IND3-20.50939.664.334.015.57.03.1
HOU2-30.53021.243.222.410.65.02.3
JAX3-20.50628.551.125.811.65.22.3
LAC2-20.51016.639.019.58.94.11.8
GB2-30.50012.835.015.96.82.91.3
ATL3-20.46920.544.719.27.63.01.2
LAR2-30.5082.729.313.45.82.61.2
TEN2-30.48810.726.312.35.32.31.0
PIT3-20.43319.840.217.06.52.40.9
NYJ2-30.4746.024.611.14.61.90.8
MIN1-40.4785.313.15.62.20.90.4
LV2-30.4274.614.05.62.10.80.3
CIN2-30.4353.910.94.41.70.60.2
WSH2-30.4241.912.74.81.70.60.2
CHI1-40.4362.67.62.91.10.40.2
ARI1-40.4510.36.22.40.90.40.1
DEN1-40.4211.23.81.50.60.20.1
NE1-40.3740.53.71.30.40.10.0
NYG1-40.3720.32.30.70.20.10.0
CAR0-50.4130.30.90.30.10.00.0

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City

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