Chicago beat Carolina Thursday, which had basically no effect on the NFC as a whole. The only semi-interesting thing is that my simulations showed Arizona never winning the #1 seed in even a single simulation for the last few game days, but now they do, and Carolina doesn't. I'm not convinced it's mathematically impossible, but I think they'd have to flip some tiebreakers in addition to winning the rest of their games.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 7-2 | 0.698 | 77.9 | 97.1 | 76.5 | 48.6 | 29.7 | 18.5 |
| KC | 7-2 | 0.633 | 90.8 | 97.5 | 73.3 | 40.7 | 20.7 | 11.4 |
| PHI | 8-1 | 0.596 | 85.9 | 99.9 | 84.2 | 45.8 | 23.7 | 11.1 |
| SF | 5-3 | 0.635 | 75.2 | 92.2 | 60.7 | 35.2 | 19.9 | 10.1 |
| DAL | 5-3 | 0.624 | 14.0 | 89.0 | 54.7 | 30.4 | 16.8 | 8.4 |
| DET | 6-2 | 0.565 | 71.6 | 93.3 | 53.9 | 26.4 | 12.7 | 5.6 |
| BUF | 5-4 | 0.642 | 38.5 | 59.9 | 34.8 | 18.4 | 9.6 | 5.4 |
| MIA | 6-3 | 0.589 | 54.0 | 78.8 | 43.4 | 20.5 | 9.6 | 4.8 |
| JAX | 6-2 | 0.571 | 71.4 | 86.3 | 49.0 | 22.3 | 9.9 | 4.8 |
| CLE | 5-3 | 0.587 | 13.8 | 71.4 | 37.9 | 17.7 | 8.3 | 4.2 |
| NO | 5-4 | 0.551 | 66.4 | 77.7 | 39.1 | 18.2 | 8.5 | 3.6 |
| MIN | 5-4 | 0.531 | 25.2 | 74.2 | 35.6 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 |
| SEA | 5-3 | 0.492 | 23.4 | 68.0 | 30.3 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| HOU | 4-4 | 0.543 | 20.6 | 45.5 | 21.3 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| LAC | 4-4 | 0.549 | 7.8 | 32.7 | 15.2 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| GB | 3-5 | 0.502 | 3.0 | 27.4 | 11.9 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| CIN | 5-3 | 0.485 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| TB | 3-5 | 0.481 | 12.7 | 25.7 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| ATL | 4-5 | 0.444 | 21.0 | 31.9 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| PIT | 5-3 | 0.432 | 5.4 | 41.1 | 14.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| IND | 4-5 | 0.484 | 4.6 | 24.5 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| NYJ | 4-4 | 0.443 | 7.4 | 16.4 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| TEN | 3-5 | 0.473 | 3.4 | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| WSH | 4-5 | 0.407 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| LAR | 3-6 | 0.448 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| LV | 4-5 | 0.420 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| DEN | 3-5 | 0.410 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| CHI | 3-7 | 0.407 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| NE | 2-7 | 0.328 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 2-7 | 0.286 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CAR | 1-8 | 0.344 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| ARI | 1-8 | 0.343 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
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