Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 18, Saturday

Baltimore over San Francisco

I was a little unsure the NFL really picked the right games for Saturday, but I think it worked out. Pittsburgh was playing for a chance at the playoffs, and defeated Baltimore, who had the #1 seed locked up and nothing to play for but pride. With the game in Baltimore I thought there might be some chance they'd go all out to win, but without Lamar Jackson, Pittsburgh kept their hopes alive. Consequently, they actually could have clinched their playoff spot on Saturday if the other game had ended in a tie. But, Houston beat Indianapolis, so Houston is in, Indy is out, and Pittsburgh waits for some help tomorrow. They either need Jacksonville to lose or tie to fall behind them (10-7 vs 9-8/9-7-1), or if Jacksonville wins to tie them at 10-7, they need Buffalo to lose and join the tiebreaker. In other words, they'll lose the 2-team tiebreaker to Jacksonville, but win the 3-team tiebreaker against Buffalo and Jacksonville.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	13-4	0.834	++	++	++	77.4	55.5	34.2
SF	12-4	0.809	++	++	++	78.1	51.4	28.6
DAL	11-5	0.767	92.6	++	74.9	53.0	26.8	13.3
BUF	10-6	0.735	57.1	71.0	49.0	28.8	12.7	6.1
MIA	11-5	0.675	42.9	++	56.3	26.0	10.1	4.1
KC	10-6	0.660	++	++	55.1	27.2	9.3	3.6
DET	11-5	0.596	++	++	55.1	20.9	6.7	2.1
CLE	11-5	0.598	-	++	56.5	19.6	6.1	2.1
PHI	11-5	0.537	7.4	++	50.7	15.2	4.3	1.2
LAR	9-7	0.549	-	++	35.7	9.6	3.5	1.0
HOU	10-7	0.549	32.4	++	37.5	10.0	3.2	0.9
TB	8-8	0.529	83.1	83.1	39.5	11.5	3.2	0.9
GB	8-8	0.549	-	61.3	26.4	7.4	2.5	0.7
JAX	9-7	0.528	67.6	67.6	29.0	8.2	2.1	0.6
NO	8-8	0.591	10.7	18.6	8.5	2.7	1.0	0.3
PIT	10-7	0.453	-	61.4	16.7	2.9	0.9	0.2
SEA	8-8	0.426	-	28.0	6.1	0.9	0.3	0.1
ATL	7-9	0.454	6.2	6.2	2.5	0.6	0.1	0.0
MIN	7-9	0.483	-	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0
CHI	7-9	0.479	-	-	-	-	-	-
LV	7-9	0.473	-	-	-	-	-	-
IND	9-8	0.465	-	-	-	-	-	-
CIN	8-8	0.431	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	8-8	0.419	-	-	-	-	-	-
LAC	5-11	0.402	-	-	-	-	-	-
TEN	5-11	0.349	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	4-12	0.283	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	6-10	0.282	-	-	-	-	-	-
NE	4-12	0.248	-	-	-	-	-	-
WSH	4-12	0.246	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	5-11	0.201	-	-	-	-	-	-
CAR	2-14	0.186	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Super Bowl win: Baltimore (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a first-round bye: Baltimore and San Francisco (Week 17, Final)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Saturday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco