2023-12-31

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 17, Saturday

Baltimore over San Francisco

Dallas edged out Detroit with a controversial penalty call at the end of the game, but everyone but Detroit fans will forget that in a week or two. Both teams were already in the playoffs, and Dallas now has a bit better chance of taking their division from Philadelphia, but at the top, everything stays the same.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF11-40.781++++95.568.644.024.8
BAL12-30.79195.7++94.265.742.224.7
DAL11-50.76734.0++74.149.428.615.6
MIA11-40.72974.5++74.344.722.111.1
BUF9-60.72425.592.157.030.615.57.7
KC9-60.64495.696.945.920.38.13.3
DET11-50.596++++59.323.98.63.0
CLE11-50.5984.3++62.022.37.82.9
PHI11-40.54566.0++61.624.07.22.2
TB8-70.55089.789.831.411.64.01.3
LAR8-70.547-75.831.510.23.61.1
JAX8-70.47764.577.427.16.91.80.5
MIN7-80.532-27.510.83.11.10.3
HOU8-70.49418.839.713.53.51.00.3
SEA8-70.438-63.019.64.51.20.3
GB7-80.504-26.59.92.70.90.2
IND8-70.46816.741.212.42.90.80.2
NO7-80.5705.99.33.61.30.50.2
LV7-80.4802.619.05.11.10.40.1
CIN8-70.447-17.04.51.00.30.1
ATL7-80.4984.47.92.60.70.20.1
PIT8-70.420-13.03.10.60.20.0
DEN7-80.4081.83.81.00.20.00.0
CHI6-90.439-0.20.10.00.00.0
LAC5-100.418------
TEN5-100.398------
NYJ6-100.282------
ARI3-120.274------
WSH4-110.274------
NE4-110.257------
CAR2-130.231------
NYG5-100.204------

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)
First to 99.9999% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 14, Final)
First to clinch a division: San Francisco (Week 15, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Carolina (Week 13, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 13, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 13, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 14, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 15, Final] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Saturday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Sunday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 16, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 17, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco

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