2023-11-28

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 12, Final

Baltimore over San Francisco

Chicago beat Minnesota on Monday, which didn't do much except lift Detroit's divisional chances from 72.6% to 81.9%, and give Philadelphia five nines of certainty to make the playoffs.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL9-30.73677.199.179.152.934.019.5
SF8-30.72998.699.878.650.830.818.0
DAL8-30.73616.699.675.748.029.617.6
KC8-30.65297.599.276.543.221.610.3
PHI10-10.60683.4100.086.443.818.38.3
MIA8-30.63588.495.961.531.415.37.0
JAX8-30.55787.396.954.722.89.13.5
DET8-30.56281.996.351.019.27.73.1
CLE7-40.56314.882.239.016.36.82.7
BUF6-60.67511.523.613.67.23.92.0
MIN6-60.54314.265.628.610.94.21.6
HOU6-50.5527.454.823.89.53.91.5
GB5-60.5153.951.820.27.32.60.9
NO5-60.51538.948.416.76.12.30.8
IND6-50.5025.347.218.06.32.30.8
PIT7-40.4448.162.821.16.42.00.6
ATL5-60.45945.851.314.24.61.50.5
SEA6-50.4600.740.913.94.41.40.4
LAR5-60.4960.723.38.22.91.00.3
DEN6-50.4391.727.78.92.70.80.2
TB4-70.46815.221.36.22.00.70.2
LAC4-70.5200.65.22.10.70.30.1
CIN5-60.4380.03.00.90.30.10.0
CHI4-80.3980.01.20.30.10.00.0
LV5-70.3820.21.30.30.10.00.0
TEN4-70.4110.10.80.20.10.00.0
NYJ4-70.3360.00.30.10.00.00.0
WSH4-80.332-0.10.00.00.00.0
NYG4-80.248-0.30.00.00.00.0
CAR1-100.2900.00.00.00.00.00.0
NE2-90.2920.00.00.00.00.00.0
ARI2-100.297-0.00.00.00.00.0

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 11, Final)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Philadelphia (Week 12, Final)

First teams eliminated from a division: Washington and New York, NFC East (Week 12, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Thursday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 5, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 7, Final] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Thursday] San Francisco over Kansas City
[Week 8, Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 9, Final] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Thursday] Baltimore over Philadelphia
[Week 10, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 10, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Thursday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 11, Final] Baltimore over San Francisco
[Week 12, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Friday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 12, Sunday] Baltimore over San Francisco

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