2023-10-03

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 4, Final

San Francisco over Buffalo

Seattle beat New York and slightly hurt its division-mate San Francisco's playoff chances, but not enough to dethrone them from being the favorite.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF4-00.59669.591.266.037.420.711.3
BUF3-10.60462.087.561.835.620.111.1
DAL3-10.60948.381.254.931.718.110.1
KC3-10.57670.585.857.831.316.68.7
BAL3-10.57867.284.355.330.015.98.3
PHI4-00.54546.484.052.526.313.06.4
MIA3-10.53932.675.544.321.910.75.2
DET3-10.54162.976.143.421.410.45.1
TB3-10.53659.673.441.120.09.64.6
SEA3-10.53419.663.335.217.08.23.9
CLE2-20.54022.356.230.514.97.33.5
HOU2-20.53333.457.431.015.07.23.4
LAR2-20.5259.042.822.110.44.92.3
IND2-20.49625.949.925.011.14.92.2
GB2-20.50723.746.022.610.34.72.1
TEN2-20.50522.343.722.210.04.52.0
LAC2-20.51021.642.021.29.84.52.0
JAX2-20.49618.437.618.38.13.61.6
ATL2-20.46320.836.516.26.62.71.1
NO2-20.46518.033.614.86.12.51.0
MIN1-30.49111.822.610.44.52.00.9
WSH2-20.4514.524.610.64.21.70.7
PIT2-20.4289.126.210.74.11.50.6
ARI1-30.4751.913.15.82.41.00.4
NYJ1-30.4503.415.26.42.61.00.4
LV1-30.4274.211.04.41.60.60.2
NE1-30.4192.111.84.61.70.60.2
DEN1-30.4373.79.94.01.60.60.2
CIN1-30.4121.46.02.30.80.30.1
NYG1-30.3950.85.01.80.60.20.1
CHI0-40.4161.63.81.40.50.20.1
CAR0-40.4351.52.81.10.40.20.1

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo

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