2023-10-06

Super Bowl LVIII Projection, Week 5, Thursday

San Francisco over Buffalo

I think nearly everyone expected Chicago to lose again and possibly fire their coach to take advantage of their extra time off before their next game, but they came out and won. Granted, Washington was no powerhouse at 2-2 going into the game. As usual, a single game between two lowly teams leaves the top with no changes.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF4-00.59669.591.866.437.620.811.3
BUF3-10.60461.787.561.835.520.111.0
DAL3-10.60950.082.555.932.318.310.2
KC3-10.57670.785.857.831.316.68.7
BAL3-10.57867.384.355.330.015.98.3
PHI4-00.54547.284.953.026.613.16.4
MIA3-10.53932.975.844.622.010.85.2
DET3-10.54161.975.743.021.210.35.0
TB3-10.53659.874.041.420.19.64.7
SEA3-10.53419.664.836.017.38.34.0
CLE2-20.54022.155.930.314.87.33.5
HOU2-20.53333.457.431.015.07.23.4
LAR2-20.5259.044.222.810.75.02.4
IND2-20.49625.949.925.011.14.92.2
GB2-20.50723.646.522.810.34.72.1
TEN2-20.50522.343.722.210.04.52.0
LAC2-20.51021.441.721.09.74.42.0
JAX2-20.49618.437.618.38.13.61.6
ATL2-20.46320.937.216.46.72.71.1
NO2-20.46517.834.015.06.12.51.0
MIN1-30.49111.422.610.44.52.00.9
PIT2-20.4289.126.210.74.01.50.6
ARI1-30.4751.813.46.02.51.10.4
NYJ1-30.4503.415.46.52.61.00.4
WSH2-30.4242.012.24.81.80.70.3
NE1-30.4192.112.04.71.70.60.2
DEN1-30.4363.89.94.01.60.60.2
LV1-30.4274.210.94.31.60.60.2
CHI1-40.4363.17.93.11.20.50.2
CIN1-30.4121.46.02.30.80.30.1
NYG1-30.3950.85.41.90.70.20.1
CAR0-40.4351.52.91.20.40.20.1

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: San Francisco, Buffalo, and Dallas (Week 4, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Thursday] Dallas over Cleveland
[Week 2, Sunday] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Dallas over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] San Francisco over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 3, Final] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Thursday] San Francisco over Miami
[Week 4, Sunday] San Francisco over Buffalo
[Week 4, Final] San Francisco over Buffalo

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