It seems to happen almost every year, and I can't let a Divisional Saturday post go by without pointing it out, so I'll point it out again. Atlanta is favored in the NFC only because they have currently advanced one round further than Dallas and Green Bay. Dallas is the stronger team, but has to beat Green Bay to get to play Atlanta. Thus, at the moment, Atlanta is the most likely team to make the Superbowl out of the NFC.
The AFC has no such issue, as its best team played yesterday. The game was surprisingly close for the first half and beyond. I think most people expected New England to win about 102-1 (yes you can score 1 in the NFL now, as long as the other team scores 6). After a few first half turnovers, I was starting to think Houston might be able to hang close enough and win it on a last-second score, but New England pulled away and will host the AFC championship next week. With that win, New England crossed the 50% mark for their title chances, and they're over 74% likely to make the Superbowl. With the remaining AFC teams pretty evenly matched, that won't change by much after today.
Here's who I'm rooting for Sunday:
Green Bay at Dallas:
Dallas would host Atlanta, or Green Bay would go to Atlanta. I sort of like both teams, but I think I'll root for Green Bay this time.
Pittsburgh at Kansas City:
I'll be rooting for the winner of this one against New England, but this is a tough game for me to pick a favorite. I've sort of adopted the Steelers since a pal of mine is a big fan, but the Chiefs were the team I watched before the Rams came to St. Louis, and perhaps now logically my "home" team again. Also they were never really hated rivals to the Rams, only playing once every 4 years in the regular season. I'll root for the Chiefs today, if nothing else because my numbers say they have just a little bit better of a chance of beating New England.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 14-2 | 0.845 | ++ | ++ | ++ | ++ | 74.34 | 52.39 |
| ATL | 11-5 | 0.701 | ++ | ++ | ++ | ++ | 52.86 | 19.33 |
| DAL | 13-3 | 0.722 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 65.31 | 34.31 | 13.32 |
| KC | 12-4 | 0.661 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 51.85 | 13.66 | 6.32 |
| PIT | 11-5 | 0.645 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 48.15 | 12.00 | 5.33 |
| GB | 10-6 | 0.580 | ++ | ++ | ++ | 34.69 | 12.84 | 3.31 |
| SEA | 10-5-1 | 0.640 | ++ | ++ | ++ | - | - | - |
| ARI | 7-8-1 | 0.606 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DEN | 9-7 | 0.585 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| PHI | 7-9 | 0.577 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 11-5 | 0.565 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| OAK | 12-4 | 0.558 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| BAL | 8-8 | 0.549 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIN | 8-8 | 0.547 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| BUF | 7-9 | 0.540 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| IND | 8-8 | 0.535 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| WAS | 8-7-1 | 0.525 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NO | 7-9 | 0.524 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CIN | 6-9-1 | 0.523 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TEN | 9-7 | 0.506 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SD | 5-11 | 0.477 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| DET | 9-7 | 0.475 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| TB | 9-7 | 0.469 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| MIA | 10-6 | 0.466 | - | ++ | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 6-10 | 0.436 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| HOU | 9-7 | 0.381 | ++ | ++ | ++ | - | - | - |
| JAC | 3-13 | 0.335 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 3-13 | 0.255 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYJ | 5-11 | 0.234 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| SF | 2-14 | 0.211 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 1-15 | 0.167 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LA | 4-12 | 0.156 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)
First to 45% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 17, Final)
First to 50% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Divisional Saturday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: New England (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: Dallas (Week 16, Saturday)
First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)
[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 12, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 17, Final] New England over Dallas
[Wildcard Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Wildcard Sunday] New England over Dallas
No comments:
Post a Comment