Superbowl LI Projection, Week 10, Final

Dallas over New England

Cincinnati lost to the Giants, but neither team is near the top of the league, so the projection remains the same. The strong AFC teams lost a few tenths of a percent each, which all flowed to Baltimore and Pittsburgh. With Cincinnati sustaining a loss, the chances of a stronger NFC North winner means everyone else will face a stronger opponents on average on the way to the Superbowl.

Cleveland still has phantom eliminations for the positions of AFC winner and Superbowl champion. Maybe next week we'll get a real elimination for them.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
DAL	8-1	0.656	85.67	98.48	92.68	56.48	33.79	19.27
NE	7-2	0.649	93.38	97.42	93.44	57.09	33.97	18.86
PHI	5-4	0.634	3.25	47.42	29.43	15.36	8.60	4.70
DEN	7-3	0.606	24.12	74.13	53.44	28.64	14.93	7.62
ARI	4-4-1	0.595	18.30	35.55	23.57	12.08	6.01	3.04
SEA	6-2-1	0.582	80.38	88.52	74.27	39.27	18.64	9.19
KC	7-2	0.582	44.62	83.19	64.27	33.81	16.43	7.98
BUF	4-5	0.564	1.10	18.11	10.30	4.72	2.28	1.07
MIN	5-4	0.559	48.51	55.81	33.31	15.56	7.14	3.35
ATL	6-4	0.557	73.97	77.00	47.24	22.34	10.14	4.74
BAL	5-4	0.554	60.90	62.43	33.90	15.61	7.35	3.37
OAK	7-2	0.540	31.21	80.39	56.47	26.09	11.54	5.12
TEN	5-5	0.524	20.98	27.89	14.34	6.11	2.66	1.14
SD	4-6	0.523	0.04	3.77	1.93	0.79	0.35	0.15
PIT	4-5	0.516	29.16	32.97	15.76	6.63	2.87	1.20
WAS	5-3-1	0.506	2.53	38.77	19.25	7.53	3.18	1.33
NO	4-5	0.503	17.50	21.49	10.62	4.33	1.76	0.73
DET	5-4	0.498	36.98	45.37	24.18	9.80	3.90	1.60
MIA	5-4	0.496	5.48	25.66	14.29	5.83	2.42	0.97
NYG	6-3	0.495	8.55	58.67	30.71	11.80	4.81	1.96
CAR	3-6	0.491	2.31	3.30	1.48	0.57	0.23	0.09
GB	4-5	0.480	14.19	17.34	7.96	3.02	1.17	0.46
IND	4-5	0.471	11.41	14.10	6.17	2.28	0.88	0.33
TB	4-5	0.452	6.22	8.76	3.79	1.35	0.49	0.18
CIN	3-5-1	0.451	9.94	10.16	4.00	1.42	0.53	0.19
HOU	6-3	0.436	67.43	69.50	31.58	10.95	3.79	1.31
LA	4-5	0.411	1.32	3.18	1.41	0.46	0.15	0.05
JAC	2-7	0.375	0.19	0.20	0.06	0.02	0.01	0.00
NYJ	3-7	0.364	0.03	0.09	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
SF	1-8	0.344	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
CHI	2-7	0.342	0.33	0.36	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.00
CLE	0-10	0.290	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England