2014-09-29

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 4, Sunday

Cincinnati over Arizona

So...what's going on here? Cincinnati is the 2nd strongest team, and Arizona is 7th overall, 3rd in the NFC. Yet, I've got them favored to win their respective conferences. It all comes down to the weakness of their future schedule, as well as the tiebreakers they've pushed their way towards winning, such as division record. To be clear, in an Arizona vs Detroit or Dallas game, I would have Arizona losing. But, by averaging 100 million simulations, Arizona comes out atop the NFC 16.338% of the time, more than any other team, and likewise for Cincinnati in the AFC with 18.177% of the simulations. The long and short of it is that the projection remains the same for another day.

In Fantasy Football news, my Larry Donnell pickup led the way for both of my teams to basically clinch the week by the end of Sunday's games. I've also got Stevan Ridley playing tonight in both leagues, but his points will just be tiebreaker fodder.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL3-10.58435.16771.82051.28127.54614.8258.235
CIN3-00.58153.90780.33162.97033.91018.17710.053
SD3-10.57761.03876.25158.70031.45316.5369.078
IND2-20.56138.70551.27833.14016.9678.6344.603
DET3-10.55551.83967.76951.40927.53414.6037.312
DAL3-10.55139.89660.55744.30923.50212.3756.149
ARI3-00.54956.11575.15758.83531.16316.3388.070
HOU3-10.54757.18270.19949.11624.46912.0386.240
NE2-10.53939.70050.27332.62915.8377.6363.901
SEA2-10.53127.33751.54135.30317.8268.9824.280
PHI3-10.52936.74455.46138.84819.6089.8564.681
ATL2-20.52753.09057.54435.80417.8118.8524.182
NYG2-20.52320.24734.40021.70710.7805.3462.505
DEN2-10.51628.20748.68930.87114.2966.5693.201
MIN2-20.51521.43938.33524.91112.1405.9032.719
BUF2-20.51030.26237.72120.9379.4724.2792.058
MIA2-20.49821.55330.85417.1417.5813.3451.572
SF2-20.49811.68229.75617.6748.2763.8901.726
PIT2-20.4966.72424.80113.5395.9472.6411.236
CLE1-20.4944.20116.4598.7863.8511.7060.795
GB2-20.49214.39126.79515.9807.4053.4311.502
KC1-20.4919.95619.97210.9814.8122.0990.972
CHI2-20.48412.33025.15115.0256.8583.1271.347
WAS1-30.4753.1138.8544.7592.1260.9540.401
NO1-30.47314.46918.2809.3984.1421.8300.767
NYJ1-30.4648.48513.0726.5352.6631.0870.474
CAR2-20.45126.61632.29417.1597.2023.0241.204
STL1-20.4484.86510.8085.6412.3680.9970.394
TB1-30.4205.8257.2983.2381.2590.4920.181
TEN1-30.4103.3265.8302.4420.8750.3150.121
OAK0-40.4020.7991.1600.4460.1570.0550.021
JAC0-40.3880.7871.2910.4860.1640.0560.020


[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]

2014 World Series Projection, September 29

Washington over Los Angeles

It's that time of year again, when my projection posts go into overdrive. This year, there's no tiebreaker game, so I had to figure out how to re-modify my software to not account for one. I'm a terrible software engineer sometimes.

TeamStrengthLDSLCSWSWin
OAK0.608959.0331.4319.1411.44
WAS0.5955100.0061.2337.1420.03
LAA0.5923100.0053.6530.7117.22
BAL0.5783100.0058.6428.1814.94
LAD0.5687100.0060.5929.7714.28
SF0.536350.0919.479.303.81
PIT0.535449.9119.319.193.75
DET0.5324100.0041.3615.816.80
KC0.519340.9714.926.162.48
STL0.5119100.0039.4114.605.25

The team strengths are much lower than last year. There was a significant drop in runs per team this year, from 675 to 659, which is part of how those strengths are calculated. The league average is still .500, but the teams are more closely packed together.

I'll mention the same caveat I did last year. Oakland is statistically the strongest team, but if they used their best starter in the wildcard game, they'd obviously be at a lesser advantage or a disadvantage in their first game against LA. These projections work better the longer a series goes, as they reflect the team's average performance in all games, something that can vary wildly from your ace down to your #5 - or even #3 - starter.

I'm actually a bit conflicted in the AL wildcard game. I like both teams, and would probably root for both against LA, although in the somewhat unlikely event the Cardinals make the World Series, it would be fun to see Pujols and Freese back at the scene of their 2011 win. I suppose I'll be a homer instead of a front-runner, and root for my home-state Royals tomorrow.

2014-09-28

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 5

Again, nearly every team moved this week. #3 Oregon and #113 Hawaii pulled off the bye-week stand, holding #3 and #113 without playing. The other teams to hold their positions, but while playing, were #41 Virginia, #118 Vanderbilt, #120 Appalachian State, #122 SMU, and #125 Troy.

This week is Nebraska's turn at the top. Other than week 1, when every 1-0 team is tied for #1, There has been a different #1 each week. Nebraska should solidify that spot with a win over #30 Michigan State, although an Oregon win over #17 Arizona, or the winner of #2 Texas A&M win and #9 Mississippi State could help one of them take the top spot.

Missouri's win over South Carolina vaulted them into my top 10, even though South Carolina is only #33 now. That probably speaks to everyone's tendencies to beat up on bad teams early in the year, making #33 a huge jump in quality of opponents.

Massachusetts has reclaimed it's bottom-of-the-pack position, losing yet again, this time to #61 Bowling Green.

1Nebraska5-0
2Texas A&M5-0
3Oregon4-0
4Florida State4-0
5UCLA4-0
6North Carolina State4-1
7LSU4-1
8Auburn4-0
9Mississippi State4-0
10Missouri4-1
11Alabama4-0
12Georgia Tech4-0
13Washington4-1
14BYU4-0
15Maryland4-1
16Notre Dame4-0
17Arizona4-0
18Oklahoma4-0
19Louisville4-1
20Ole Miss4-0
21Baylor4-0
22Rutgers4-1
23Iowa4-1
24Minnesota4-1
25Penn State4-1
26Marshall4-0
27Duke4-1
28Wyoming3-2
29Virginia Tech3-2
30Michigan State3-1
31Illinois3-2
32USC3-1
33South Carolina3-2
34Wisconsin3-1
35Oklahoma State3-1
36Pittsburgh3-2
37California3-1
38Kansas State3-1
39Miami (FL)3-2
40East Carolina3-1
41Virginia3-2
42TCU3-0
43Stanford3-1
44Arkansas3-2
45Colorado State3-1
46Northern Illinois3-1
47Toledo3-2
48Utah3-1
49Georgia3-1
50Boise State3-2
51Ohio State3-1
52Nevada3-1
53Boston College3-2
54Air Force3-1
55Oregon State3-1
56Middle Tennessee3-2
57Kentucky3-1
58Arizona State3-1
59Georgia Southern3-2
60Louisiana-Monroe3-1
61Bowling Green3-2
62Indiana2-2
63Temple3-1
64Syracuse2-2
65West Virginia2-2
66Buffalo3-2
67Clemson2-2
68Northwestern2-2
69Ohio3-2
70Tennessee2-2
71Florida2-1
72Akron2-2
73Texas2-2
74Western Kentucky2-2
75Purdue2-3
76Kansas2-2
77Arkansas State2-2
78South Florida2-3
79North Carolina2-2
80Washington State2-3
81Memphis2-2
82Texas Tech2-2
83Cincinnati2-1
84Navy2-3
85Florida Atlantic2-3
86Southern Miss2-3
87Utah State2-2
88Florida International2-3
89San Diego State2-2
90Central Michigan2-3
91Louisiana Tech2-3
92UTEP2-2
93Fresno State2-3
94UAB2-2
95Texas State2-2
96Houston2-2
97Michigan2-3
98Wake Forest2-3
99Western Michigan2-2
100South Alabama2-2
101Colorado2-3
102UCF1-2
103Iowa State1-3
104North Texas2-2
105New Mexico State2-3
106Rice1-3
107San Jose State1-3
108Ball State1-3
109UTSA1-3
110Tulane1-4
111Georgia State1-3
112Louisiana-Lafayette1-3
113Hawaii1-3
114Army1-3
115Eastern Michigan1-3
116Tulsa1-3
117Connecticut1-4
118Vanderbilt1-4
119New Mexico1-3
120Appalachian State1-3
121UNLV1-4
122SMU0-4
123Kent State0-4
124Miami (OH)0-5
125Troy0-5
126Idaho0-4
127Massachusetts0-5


2014 History

2014-09-26

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 4, Thursday

Cincinnati over Arizona

Washington and New York are behind undefeated Philadelphia in the NFC East, so their game didn't really affect much last night. Philadelphia still has a 53% chance of winning the division, down slightly from nearly 56%, because Washington was actually the stronger team before the game. We'll see if the bye week for the two favorites helps San Diego or Philadelphia boost themselves up to the top of their respective conferences.

On a fun personal note, I had Dennis Pitta as my only TE in both of my fantasy football leagues. As you may know, he's was hurt in week 3 and is now out for the year. I chose to pick up Larry Donnell in both leagues, and boy, did it pay off. He scored 3 touchdowns last night, giving me quite the head start going into the weekend games. I'd like to claim I saw that coming, but it was pure dumb luck. I just grabbed the best free agent TE in one league, and the second best in the other, since I like keeping my teams similar when it doesn't mean picking a player too far down the list.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
CIN3-00.58160.32381.69467.02737.76721.14111.704
ARI3-00.54858.77776.11458.52230.82916.1618.297
ATL2-10.54649.32162.15143.36122.61711.7586.004
SD2-10.54449.14364.09746.66024.11812.2656.330
DET2-10.54042.23957.06439.23620.16710.3385.221
NE2-10.53937.09351.66935.57918.1239.1304.669
BAL2-10.53520.47652.39334.04516.9958.5814.350
PHI3-00.53453.07569.52351.46126.26113.3116.647
HOU2-10.53353.10061.74041.93221.05710.4745.287
SEA2-10.53128.31951.36434.31517.2768.7084.319
IND1-20.52730.82938.90223.75911.7225.7672.875
CHI2-10.52636.94252.74135.58417.7438.8234.333
BUF2-10.52440.85453.15835.41917.4458.5004.217
NYG2-20.52320.81535.84522.01410.8955.3882.629
DEN2-10.51635.07052.20534.83016.8738.0863.944
DAL2-10.51522.75940.76225.95512.6516.1582.961
CAR2-10.51133.41448.32431.07315.0277.2533.458
NO1-20.51115.58027.80816.4957.9553.8411.831
PIT2-10.50214.19738.34123.31110.8395.0972.416
CLE1-20.4945.00417.2429.7034.4482.0630.962
KC1-20.49112.42021.97912.6785.8022.6421.223
SF1-20.4877.51318.78210.3324.7242.1710.982
MIN1-20.48413.50122.68812.8905.8642.6731.203
NYJ1-20.47913.09922.51612.9995.7852.5611.157
WAS1-30.4753.3519.7205.0372.2411.0010.440
MIA1-20.4548.95416.0038.4333.5391.4840.633
GB1-20.4527.31812.6706.5582.7721.1740.491
STL1-20.4485.39211.2865.7462.4141.0190.423
TEN1-20.44312.79918.0819.0583.6981.5060.626
OAK0-30.4363.3674.9862.3240.9340.3760.154
TB0-30.4251.6863.1621.4220.5630.2250.088
JAC0-30.4153.2724.9952.2430.8550.3270.127


[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]

2014-09-25

eBay Wins #142

Tonight's eBay lot is from 1990 Topps, which cost me 3 whole cents.

1990 Topps
#301 Don Aase
#312 Dan Quisenberry
#541 Pat Perry
When David Aardsma first reached the majors, I read that he became lexicographically first in the MLB record book, just ahead of Hank Aaron. I don't have that list handy, but I'd imagine Don Aase must be pretty close to 4th, after Aardsma and the Aaron brothers.

The other two guys fall somewhere in the middle of that list. Also, they both played for the Cardinals. I only recently posted my first Dan Quisenberry and Pat Perry cards, and now I've already got another card post featuring both of them. Both of them were on different teams on those 1988 cards, and they both were on different teams for 1990 than pictured here, Quisenberry with the Giants, and Perry with the Dodgers. Finally, 1990 was also the last season for each of them. It's not quite Kennedy-Lincoln, but that's an awful lot of coincidences, coinciding with the random cards I purchased on eBay.


eBay Bargain Tracker
Total Cards Bought3205
Total Spent$50.58
Per Card1.578 cents
Change-0.001 cents

2014-09-23

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 3, Final

Cincinnati over Arizona

It's still early in the season, but the inter-conference games still have a measurable effect on everyone's playoff odds. In fact, perhaps the effect is noticeable on everyone precisely because it is so early, and no one has completely run away with a division. There are actually no divisions that include both a 3-0 and 0-3 team, and some have only 2-1 and 1-2 teams, so the races are even closer than they could be. That means a chunk of each team's playoff odds include their chances at a wildcard, which are changed when one conference wins and another one loses in isolation, like when Chicago beat the Jets. The playoff odds for Chicago climbed by over 11 percentage points, which were all taken from the other 15 NFC teams. The Jets lost over 10 percentage points in their playoff hunt, and those were all meted out to the other AFC teams. Like every inter-conference game not involving the Rams, I was rooting for the AFC team last night, but they just couldn't pull it off, raising the bar just a bit more for the NFC Wildcard slots.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
CIN3-00.58160.31181.67967.01437.75821.13911.698
ARI3-00.54857.90674.90857.16830.11715.7898.106
ATL2-10.54650.08963.19244.33423.13112.0196.138
SD2-10.54449.12564.05246.59924.08612.2566.320
DET2-10.54042.34056.72238.87319.98310.2475.176
NE2-10.53937.08651.62435.53318.0979.1174.656
BAL2-10.53520.48352.37234.03516.9868.5724.344
PHI3-00.53455.85471.43653.24627.16313.7596.874
HOU2-10.53353.00361.75642.02421.11310.4975.301
WAS1-20.53213.62830.26418.6169.3674.7152.344
SEA2-10.53128.84051.54434.49217.3698.7494.340
IND1-20.52730.78438.89123.76411.7245.7672.875
CHI2-10.52637.12752.74835.57117.7348.8204.332
BUF2-10.52440.85153.13035.39917.4348.4924.208
DEN2-10.51635.06952.16134.79116.8598.0803.939
DAL2-10.51523.15641.20826.25912.8036.2332.996
CAR2-10.51133.01948.17430.98914.9837.2393.456
NO1-20.51115.32027.68116.4347.9313.8301.827
PIT2-10.50214.19738.33823.31810.8445.1032.417
CLE1-20.4945.00917.2329.7054.4512.0660.964
KC1-20.49112.43621.96512.6655.7982.6401.224
SF1-20.4877.72218.91710.4194.7702.1910.994
MIN1-20.48413.15522.01212.4775.6832.5901.165
NYJ1-20.47913.11122.50212.9855.7772.5591.157
NYG1-20.4637.36214.0987.3983.2101.3960.598
MIA1-20.4548.95315.9908.4193.5351.4830.632
GB1-20.4527.37812.6916.5672.7791.1780.493
STL1-20.4485.53211.3925.7982.4391.0290.427
TEN1-20.44312.78218.0889.0703.7041.5100.628
OAK0-30.4363.3714.9852.3220.9320.3750.153
TB0-30.4251.5723.0121.3590.5380.2140.084
JAC0-30.4153.4315.2352.3570.8990.3440.134



[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]

2014-09-22

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 3, Sunday

Cincinnati over Arizona

Houston and Carolina both lost this week, vaulting Cincinnati and Arizona into the favored positions. I will note for any of you who haven't been following along, that Cincinnati is not favored to win the AFC simply because they are the only 3-0 team. It would be feasible that a strong 2-1 team with a weaker schedule could be favored to win more of the remaining games and catch or surpass Cincinnati. But, Cincinnati has a very large ratio of Points For to Points Against, which also makes them the strongest team in the league, and the current Superbowl favorite


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
CIN3-00.58160.37681.28266.63737.52521.00511.645
ARI3-00.54857.90075.32357.76830.53316.0548.247
ATL2-10.54650.08363.76145.12123.61212.2966.282
SD2-10.54449.09963.50345.96623.74812.0876.247
DET2-10.54047.69759.45740.91821.07510.8185.465
NE2-10.53934.35149.71534.18817.4098.7714.490
BAL2-10.53520.51351.69733.60216.7838.4764.303
PHI3-00.53455.76071.90153.94327.61214.0197.007
HOU2-10.53353.06261.52841.69820.93210.4135.271
WAS1-20.53213.59930.77619.0249.5974.8472.408
SEA2-10.53128.84452.06834.99917.6678.9294.430
IND1-20.52730.82338.64323.53311.6135.7152.857
BUF2-10.52437.48150.70333.76816.6368.1044.025
DEN2-10.51635.05051.47934.18916.5587.9383.878
DAL2-10.51523.29742.07926.95813.1826.4323.091
CAR2-10.51133.02548.81531.68615.3717.4423.550
NO1-20.51115.32428.24816.8898.1703.9551.886
CHI1-10.51028.21941.21826.20612.6376.0922.898
PIT2-10.50214.08937.44022.78410.6044.9882.370
NYJ1-10.49620.06832.80120.3829.4254.3232.028
CLE1-20.4945.02116.8179.4764.3482.0190.942
KC1-20.49112.43221.53912.3745.6662.5801.198
SF1-20.4877.72219.43110.7724.9422.2791.032
MIN1-20.48415.30123.68013.4336.1252.7951.257
NYG1-20.4637.34414.4567.6363.3231.4480.620
MIA1-20.4548.09915.0537.9533.3371.3990.598
GB1-20.4528.78314.0297.2623.0761.3040.546
STL1-20.4485.53411.6615.9752.5181.0660.442
TEN1-20.44312.68017.7248.8593.6181.4760.616
OAK0-30.4363.4194.9182.2760.9150.3670.151
TB0-30.4251.5683.0991.4090.5610.2240.088
JAC0-30.4153.4355.1572.3160.8840.3390.132



[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]

2014-09-21

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 4

Nearly every team moved around this week, except Alabama at #2, Louisiana-Monroe at #66, and Idaho and Troy at #124 and #125. Curiously, Louisiana-Monroe accomplished this in a bye week.

Missouri lost to Indiana, which not only dropped them 4 spots to #23, and just behind their St. Louis-area fanbase rival, Illinois, but it may have prevented the final nail in the coffin of the Big 10 - excuse me, B1G - as far as finishing with a team in the 4-team playoff. Michigan's loss to Utah certainly didn't help that cause, dropping them from #62 to #82.

At the bottom of the rankings, Massachusetts got a boost by losing to a much better team, #12 Penn State, and Kent State didn't play, swapping their positions this week.

1North Carolina State4-0
2Alabama4-0
3Oregon4-0
4Oklahoma4-0
5Mississippi State4-0
6Washington4-0
7BYU4-0
8Georgia Tech4-0
9Arizona4-0
10Texas A&M4-0
11Nebraska4-0
12Penn State4-0
13Duke4-0
14Marshall4-0
15Auburn3-0
16LSU3-1
17Maryland3-1
18UCLA3-0
19South Carolina3-1
20Wyoming3-1
21East Carolina3-1
22Illinois3-1
23Missouri3-1
24Pittsburgh3-1
25Arkansas3-1
26Ole Miss3-0
27Boise State3-1
28Notre Dame3-0
29Northern Illinois3-1
30Baylor3-0
31Florida State3-0
32Utah3-0
33Rutgers3-1
34Louisville3-1
35Minnesota3-1
36Arizona State3-0
37Boston College3-1
38Oregon State3-0
39Iowa3-1
40TCU2-0
41Virginia2-2
42Syracuse2-1
43Tennessee2-1
44Virginia Tech2-2
45West Virginia2-2
46Kansas2-1
46Oklahoma State2-1
48Kansas State2-1
49North Carolina2-1
50California2-1
51Indiana2-1
52Wisconsin2-1
53Purdue2-2
54Michigan State2-1
55Florida2-1
56Southern Miss2-2
57South Florida2-2
58Texas Tech2-1
59Arkansas State2-2
60USC2-1
61Colorado State2-1
62Cincinnati2-0
63UTEP2-1
64Miami (FL)2-2
65Louisiana Tech2-2
66Louisiana-Monroe2-1
67Central Michigan2-2
68Utah State2-2
69Toledo2-2
70Navy2-2
71Memphis2-1
72Stanford2-1
73Kentucky2-1
74Ohio State2-1
75Georgia2-1
76Wake Forest2-2
77UAB2-1
78Air Force2-1
79Georgia Southern2-2
80Nevada2-1
81Bowling Green2-2
82Michigan2-2
83Houston2-2
84Western Michigan2-1
85Middle Tennessee2-2
86Buffalo2-2
87Colorado2-2
88Temple2-1
89New Mexico State2-2
90Ohio2-2
91Iowa State1-2
92UCF1-2
93North Texas2-2
94Texas1-2
95San Jose State1-2
96UTSA1-2
97Clemson1-2
98Northwestern1-2
99Florida Atlantic1-3
100San Diego State1-2
101Akron1-2
102New Mexico1-2
103Western Kentucky1-2
104Louisiana-Lafayette1-3
105Army1-2
106Connecticut1-3
107Eastern Michigan1-3
108Texas State1-2
109Tulane1-3
110Tulsa1-2
111Washington State1-3
112Florida International1-3
113Hawaii1-3
114UNLV1-3
115Georgia State1-3
116Fresno State1-3
117South Alabama1-2
118Vanderbilt1-3
119Ball State1-3
120Appalachian State1-2
121Rice0-3
122SMU0-3
123Miami (OH)0-4
124Idaho0-3
125Troy0-4
126Massachusetts0-4
127Kent State0-3


2014 History

2014-09-19

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 3, Thursday

Houston over Carolina

Atlanta nearly broke my projections with a ridiculous 56-0 win, but they let up and Tampa scored 2 TDs to make the game slightly closer to a realistic score. During the game, I was pondering adding in an attenuation parameter, which would make any blowout only worth a win by maybe 4 touchdowns, for strength calculation purposes. I suppose for now I'll let the 6 TD victory stand. Still, Atlanta may be vastly overrated at this point, as they are the second most likely team to make the Superbowl for the NFC. As it stands, they couldn't quite take over the lead from Carolina, so the projection holds steady at least until Sunday.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
HOU2-00.55362.33373.26955.58629.85815.9378.425
CAR2-00.55051.39069.40152.01427.66914.6957.724
ATL2-10.54640.56960.97343.03622.62011.8986.199
CIN2-00.54451.88868.02350.71226.68813.9537.250
WAS1-10.54230.63547.64132.65817.0218.8364.572
BUF2-00.54249.41265.90948.70025.52213.2606.862
PHI2-00.53243.41159.33942.32721.61610.9835.572
BAL1-10.53121.97441.97827.20213.8167.0223.559
ARI2-00.52844.08860.56643.45022.01311.0735.577
DEN2-00.52654.25566.75947.49923.94511.9926.007
NE1-10.52019.63736.28223.23211.5425.7252.834
SEA1-10.51923.38840.43626.40113.0826.4633.197
SD1-10.51731.28444.98529.04114.3097.0343.462
MIN1-10.51227.01239.36925.31012.3235.9852.915
DAL1-10.51121.15934.83521.91410.6945.2042.533
CHI1-10.51027.27339.77025.54712.3905.9962.910
DET1-10.50926.55737.49023.42511.3325.4702.650
SF1-10.50621.76036.20222.74810.9445.2502.526
TEN1-10.50022.02837.05822.79610.8345.1602.453
CLE1-10.49814.80128.77317.4538.2773.9301.860
NYJ1-10.49616.61832.31319.8679.3564.4062.078
NO0-20.4926.90715.8759.0214.2271.9850.929
MIA1-10.48814.33330.08717.7958.2313.8081.766
IND0-20.4849.84316.6649.2164.2311.9500.895
GB1-10.47819.15927.00415.6897.0923.2061.455
PIT1-10.46811.33623.76013.4215.9362.6331.168
OAK0-20.4578.02412.0216.1592.6581.1510.498
KC0-20.4556.43811.2345.7592.4681.0600.457
STL1-10.45110.76419.72110.8164.6041.9570.836
NYG0-20.4494.7958.4814.3051.8340.7820.332
JAC0-20.4435.79610.8865.5612.3280.9790.411
TB0-30.4251.1342.8951.3380.5380.2170.087



[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]

2014-09-18

2010 Topps, Geoffrey the Giraffe Style

Does Toys R Us still use Geoffrey as a mascot? I don't go there often enough to notice, but I was there recently and noticed some clearanced baseball cards from the last few years. There were actually several products to choose from, but thanks to the wonders of smartphones, I was able to see that most of the prices could be beat online. I did opt to buy a $12.99 blaster of 2010 Topps, with Albert Pujols on the box.

2010 Topps
#111 Ty Wigginton
Gold Border #99 Garrett Jones #1997/2010
Black Border
#5 Texas Rangers
#56 Andy Pettite
#105 Madison Bumgarner
#135 Ryan Dempster
#152 Nyjer Morgan
#177 Adam Lind
#226 Juan Rivera
2010 is special to me because that's the year I got back into card collecting. I was killing time walking around in a Target, and browsed the baseball card displays for the first time in many years. A pack of 2010 Series 2 looked interesting for some reason, and my 10 year collecting hiatus was over.

2010 Topps
#54 John Lackey
#207 Colby Rasmus
Black Border #38 Houston Astros
Black Border #329 Colorado Rockies Franchise History
Commemorative Patch #MCP-37 Chipper Jones
Million Card Giveaway #TMC-6 Mickey Mantle
Million Card Giveaway #TMC-7 Roger Maris
Legendary Lineage #LL14 Warren Spahn/Tommy Hanson
Legendary Lineage #LL24 Bob Gibson/Tim Lincecum
I managed to get 3 total Cardinals base cards, including future Cardinals John Lackey and Ty Wigginton, and Colby Rasmus in uniform. I was expecting 2 full packs of black base cards, as promised on the box, but wound up with only 9. I was surprised to see regular inserts also in those packs. I sort of buried the "hit" of the box in the middle of this scan, but it's a nice looking 40th anniversary patch. Also in this bunch are two looooong-expired Million Card Giveaway cards, and a Bob Gibson Legendary Lineage.

2010 Topps
Cards Your Mom Threw Out #CMT-6 Frank Robinson
Cards Your Mom Threw Out #CMT-19 Steve Carlton
Cards Your Mom Threw Out #CMT-44 Mike Piazza
Cards Your Mom Threw Out Original Backs #MTO-25 Mike Schmidt
Cards Your Mom Threw Out Original Backs #MTO-39 Frank Thomas
When They Were Young #WTWY-YM Yadier Molina
Peak Performance #PP-5 Babe Ruth
Peak Performance #PP-41 David Wright
Peak Performance #PP-50 Ty Cobb
The 1993 Ozzie Smith from the Cards Your Mom Threw Out set was actually a big reason that first few packs in 2010 brought me back to collecting. I still have my original though, my mom knew better than to throw out my cards. I got another Cardinal here in Steve Carlton, though he's much better known as a member of the Phillies. I also got a card featuring Yadier Molina as a kid. Overall, this was a good blaster for Cardinals.

2010 Topps - Topps Town
#TTT2 David Wright
#TTT6 Ichiro
#TTT9 Roy Halladay
#TTT10 Tim Lincecum
#TTT12 Miguel Tejada
#TTT15 Miguel Cabrera
#TTT23 CC Sabathia
#TTT25 Manny Ramirez
I never did get into Topps Town, and I'm still not really sure exactly what it is/was.

2010 Topps
History of the Game #HOTG17 Dodgers and Giants move to California
History of the Game #HOTG18 Roger Maris
Tales of the Game #TOG-3 Babe Ruth
Tales of the Game #TOG-6 Ernie Banks
Topps Town Gold #FCTTT7 Josh Hamilton
Topps Town Gold #FCTTT19 Justin Upton
Turkey Red #TR28 Mickey Mantle
Turkey Red #TR42 Ian Kinsler
In retrospect, I'd say the inserts in 2010 are actually not that good, except for Turkey Red, which I really like, enough that I'll probably add it to my long list of sets and insert sets I'd like to complete. Don't get me wrong, Babe Ruth and Ernie Banks are obviously all time greats, but the Tales of the Game design just doesn't grab my attention. There's also Topps Town Gold, which is probably like Topps Town, but...more Toppsy? I don't really know. Maybe it unlocked more on the site, or maybe they're just golden. I also grabbed one more Cardinal, Roger Maris.

In all, I think this was a marginal purchase, but I'm still filling in gaps in my collection, so these cards from right before my collecting phase 2 began were nearly all new to me.

2014-09-16

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 2, Final

Houston over Carolina

Since I don't really root for any team but the Rams, when there's an AFC-NFC matchup, I always root for the AFC team, to weaken the wildcard pool in the NFC. So, last night the Philadelphia comeback over Indianapolis was not what I was hoping for. Every other AFC team's playoff chances went up slightly, and every other NFC team's went down.

With the narrow victory, Philadelphia didn't increase their chances enough to overtake Carolina as the NFC favorite, so today's projection remains the same as yesterday's.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
HOU2-00.55362.29173.23755.57329.86615.9778.524
CAR2-00.55063.49674.22557.03930.69916.4288.643
CIN2-00.54450.90167.08249.80126.19213.6767.167
WAS1-10.54229.98047.67532.89617.3369.0974.713
BUF2-00.54249.41765.92448.73625.55113.2886.932
PHI2-00.53143.63760.23343.46422.43311.5435.858
BAL1-10.53122.44142.25627.47313.9637.0863.618
ARI2-00.52844.84162.48145.50623.31911.8825.984
DEN2-00.52654.22966.74847.51423.94811.9866.060
NE1-10.52019.61336.27523.24011.5365.7212.856
SEA1-10.51923.05741.39027.30413.6856.8393.381
SD1-10.51731.29345.00229.06414.3437.0503.496
MIN1-10.51227.02240.32626.36212.9776.3803.113
DAL1-10.51121.30835.79822.80111.2385.5252.691
CHI1-10.51027.26940.70326.59813.0496.3853.107
DET1-10.50926.53538.46024.38911.9295.8262.821
SF1-10.50621.45137.08223.58611.4785.5822.694
TEN1-10.50022.03537.09322.85010.8615.1732.489
CLE1-10.49815.08829.01917.6418.3603.9641.898
NYJ1-10.49616.63632.35619.9099.3764.4202.103
NO0-20.4929.10517.1429.8734.6732.2161.036
MIA1-10.48814.33330.10617.8238.2623.8361.800
IND0-20.4849.86516.6949.2434.2531.9610.911
ATL1-10.48119.90832.91719.7859.1204.2221.937
TB0-20.4807.49113.9767.7043.5441.6340.744
GB1-10.47819.17427.71016.4337.5253.4331.564
PIT1-10.46811.57024.00613.6066.0232.6691.191
OAK0-20.4588.03212.0496.1792.6641.1510.506
KC0-20.4556.44711.2525.7782.4751.0640.461
STL1-10.45110.65120.63511.4874.9432.1250.908
NYG0-20.4495.0769.2464.7732.0520.8840.377
JAC0-20.4435.80810.9005.5712.3290.9790.415



[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]

2014-09-15

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 2, Sunday

Houston over Carolina

With decent-sized wins, Houston and Carolina take over their conference leads.

The Rams pulled off a yawner of a victory due to a 10 second runoff, but I'll take it. They have climbed to 1-1, but unfortunately it was only a 2 point win, so their Superbowl chances actually dropped, to below 1%. Still, for now I can claim to have a better team than Jacksonville and New York, and to have better odds than Kansas City, Oakland, and Tampa

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
HOU2-00.55359.79171.94354.61829.35115.6748.380
CAR2-00.55063.55474.59757.70331.15216.7128.787
CIN2-00.54450.89166.74249.51026.05613.6237.156
WAS1-10.54233.73449.44234.38318.1449.5484.944
BUF2-00.54249.37765.58148.45425.40413.2086.911
BAL1-10.53122.40841.79827.16313.8067.0173.595
ARI2-00.52844.82862.99046.14323.69912.0876.091
DEN2-00.52554.23966.54647.36123.88711.9766.072
PHI1-00.52436.05651.13835.51518.0689.1664.585
NE1-10.52019.59135.83922.97311.4145.6632.838
SEA1-10.51923.05041.97827.80813.9626.9963.463
SD1-10.51731.25144.67328.85314.2287.0023.488
MIN1-10.51226.97740.71626.74713.2096.5053.173
DAL1-10.51124.19437.46023.98211.8525.8522.851
CHI1-10.51027.25341.10226.98613.2656.5073.164
DET1-10.50926.51438.82424.77612.1455.9392.879
SF1-10.50621.46337.61724.07511.7415.7192.754
TEN1-10.50020.90636.05222.24110.5805.0422.429
CLE1-10.49815.10728.72017.4568.2873.9391.889
NYJ1-10.49616.66032.04619.7399.3084.3852.093
NO0-20.4929.07717.41810.0914.7862.2741.065
IND0-10.48913.91823.05513.3536.2062.8891.358
MIA1-10.48814.37229.80717.6598.1763.7901.780
ATL1-10.48119.90333.31320.1319.3064.3121.971
TB0-20.4807.46714.1747.8673.6271.6770.763
GB1-10.47819.25628.16916.8287.7203.5401.610
PIT1-10.46811.59423.72413.4435.9592.6451.189
OAK0-20.4588.04911.9246.1182.6441.1460.504
KC0-20.4556.46011.1165.7082.4511.0560.462
STL1-10.45110.65821.04311.7905.0932.2020.942
NYG0-20.4496.01610.0185.1722.2320.9650.411
JAC0-20.4435.38510.4355.3522.2440.9440.401



[Week 1]

2014-09-14

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 3

My rankings tend to shuffle around near the top, and this week was no exception. LSU dropped from #1 to #4, and UCLA dropped from #2 to #8, despite both winning. Cincinnati finally played a game, so all 127 teams are now in the rankings. Massachusetts stayed at the bottom, because almosts don't count in my rankings. They very nearly won against Vanderbilt, but lost to go 0-3 and stay at the bottom. Vanderbilt, previously at #123, jumped all the way up to #115

Missouri held steady at #19, having beat a team that is now only 0-2.

1Oklahoma3-0
2Alabama3-0
3Washington3-0
4LSU3-0
5Oregon3-0
6Pittsburgh3-0
7Arizona3-0
8UCLA3-0
9Texas A&M3-0
10North Carolina State3-0
10Mississippi State3-0
12Ole Miss3-0
13Northern Illinois3-0
14Penn State3-0
15Georgia Tech3-0
16Notre Dame3-0
17BYU3-0
18Nebraska3-0
19Missouri3-0
20Baylor3-0
21Duke3-0
22Arizona State3-0
23Marshall3-0
24Virginia2-1
25Wyoming2-1
26South Carolina2-1
27Tennessee2-1
28Syracuse2-0
29Illinois2-1
30East Carolina2-1
31Boise State2-1
32Kansas State2-0
33Virginia Tech2-1
34Auburn2-0
35TCU2-0
36Oklahoma State2-1
37Louisville2-1
38North Carolina2-0
39Maryland2-1
40Texas Tech2-1
41Florida2-0
42West Virginia2-1
43Florida State2-0
44Stanford2-1
45Navy2-1
46USC2-1
47California2-0
48Arkansas2-1
49UTEP2-1
50Utah State2-1
51Minnesota2-1
52Rutgers2-1
53Louisiana Tech2-1
54Colorado State2-1
55Boston College2-1
56Ohio State2-1
57Central Michigan2-1
58Oregon State2-0
59Bowling Green2-1
60Miami (FL)2-1
61Utah2-0
62Michigan2-1
63Nevada2-1
64Kentucky2-1
65Middle Tennessee2-1
66Louisiana-Monroe2-1
67Air Force2-1
68New Mexico State2-1
69UAB2-1
70Iowa2-1
71Wisconsin1-1
72Southern Miss1-2
73South Florida1-2
74Indiana1-1
75San Diego State1-1
76Arkansas State1-2
77Western Kentucky1-2
77Florida Atlantic1-2
79Iowa State1-2
80Georgia1-1
81Cincinnati1-0
82Michigan State1-1
83Army1-1
84Akron1-1
85Tulane1-2
86Connecticut1-2
87Kansas1-1
88Tulsa1-2
89UNLV1-2
90Texas1-2
91Texas State1-1
92UTSA1-2
93Temple1-1
94San Jose State1-1
95Purdue1-2
96Louisiana-Lafayette1-2
97Florida International1-2
98Washington State1-2
99Clemson1-1
100Eastern Michigan1-2
101Buffalo1-2
102Memphis1-1
103South Alabama1-1
104Wake Forest1-2
105Appalachian State1-1
106Georgia Southern1-2
107Toledo1-2
108Hawaii1-2
109Georgia State1-2
110Colorado1-2
111Ohio1-2
112Western Michigan1-1
113North Texas1-2
114Houston1-2
115Vanderbilt1-2
116Ball State1-2
117Rice0-2
118UCF0-2
119Northwestern0-2
120New Mexico0-2
121Miami (OH)0-3
122Fresno State0-3
123SMU0-2
124Idaho0-2
125Troy0-3
126Kent State0-3
127Massachusetts0-3


2014 History

2014-09-12

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 2, Thursday

Minnesota over Tennessee

I'm not sure that Baltimore and Pittsburgh are really the best and worst teams, respectively, but that's one hitch in my system. They've played twice as many games as all other teams, so their projected winning percentage is exaggerated twice as far from .500 as all other teams, for right now. This effect will lessen each week, and will only possibly be noticeable when one of the top teams plays Thursday or Monday. 

Even with their slight strength edge, Baltimore's week 1 loss has them behind Tennessee (and Houston, Miami, Cincinnati, New York, and Denver) for the AFC favorite.

For two days, and probably not again for the rest of this season, I can gloat to my friend the Steelers fan that the Rams are the better team...at least by these numbers.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL1-10.53129.64644.99430.50715.9718.3494.343
MIN1-00.53138.30755.79140.12721.01510.9895.720
HOU1-00.52937.59253.59438.32719.98310.4105.392
TEN1-00.52836.92854.53639.12120.36310.5925.476
DET1-00.52736.46953.82138.36119.93810.3505.355
SEA1-00.52633.02353.50638.09719.75510.2135.263
PHI1-00.52449.13858.36440.92821.08910.8305.566
MIA1-00.52033.17851.29636.07318.4719.4224.791
SF1-00.52031.59051.50136.18318.4919.4314.801
CIN1-00.51540.25053.53837.36118.9319.5754.830
CAR1-00.51537.54451.30935.36717.9179.0414.563
NYJ1-00.51330.04248.63933.78817.0488.5824.314
DEN1-00.51142.61253.62437.08518.6009.2984.654
BUF1-00.50627.39244.24730.03914.9387.4083.670
ATL1-00.50434.91548.71432.81916.2067.9813.938
ARI1-00.50325.82943.83329.48214.5237.1453.516
SD0-10.49721.68530.79719.2109.3434.5382.209
NO0-10.49614.48025.00815.3127.4323.6061.753
CLE0-10.49514.68124.33014.9727.2673.5291.710
CHI0-10.49414.17725.56115.8377.6533.7031.791
IND0-10.48913.97723.76014.4636.9233.3191.586
OAK0-10.48718.92426.18315.6357.4353.5331.681
TB0-10.48513.06022.85113.6416.4613.0601.451
DAL0-10.48018.02825.23014.7026.8833.2231.514
NE0-10.4809.38719.83211.8285.5562.6101.225
JAC0-10.47611.50421.40212.8165.9712.7841.294
GB0-10.47411.04618.98711.1585.1772.4051.115
NYG0-10.47316.62523.17713.3036.1292.8221.306
KC0-10.47216.77923.20113.4326.1872.8461.314
WAS0-10.47116.20923.81913.8726.3732.9311.352
STL0-10.4699.55918.52610.8124.9572.2701.041
PIT1-10.46815.42226.02715.3427.0113.2061.466

2014-09-09

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Week 1

Minnesota over Tennessee

Each year I project the Superbowl match-up after each day of games. The method is not of my own design, but the implementation is. Each team's strength is determined based on points scored and points allowed, and scaled to make the average team .500. Then, the remainder of the season and playoffs are simulated millions of times, and I report to you the chances of each team reaching each round of the playoffs. It's had mixed results in the past, but that's the nature of taking 1 weighted random sample out of millions of potential outcomes.

I could pretty much copy and paste from last year's week 1 notes, swapping in the correct teams
In week 1, the team with the biggest win is always atop the projections, and Kansas City Minnesota benefited from a complete domination of Jacksonville St Louis :( 
Philadelphia is right behind Minnesota for NFC champ, even though Seattle and Detroit are, for now, better teams. That's likely due to the losses by the rest of the NFC East, putting Philadelphia in a good starting position.

As for the Rams, I'd say it's time to put in Austin Davis and see what he's got, or make a zany trade for a proven QB. They currently sit in last place with the lowest chances of anyone of winning the Superbowl, barely over 1%.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
MIN1-00.53138.30955.75840.10321.00310.9845.735
HOU1-00.52937.60053.71738.39820.07510.4895.432
TEN1-00.52836.93954.65739.19920.46310.6815.519
DET1-00.52736.48253.81538.35519.94010.3495.366
SEA1-00.52633.03053.48938.08019.74310.2075.280
PHI1-00.52449.15358.35840.92421.08510.8265.581
MIA1-00.52033.88752.09736.68818.8299.6374.902
SF1-00.52031.60351.48136.16918.4899.4324.819
CIN1-00.51538.49152.49736.46618.5339.3944.739
CAR1-00.51537.55451.40035.45417.9569.0644.588
NYJ1-00.51329.45848.00533.23616.8218.4994.272
DEN1-00.51142.56753.58936.98318.6069.3344.672
BUF1-00.50627.31544.19529.94814.9277.4363.684
PIT1-00.50534.88949.01733.21116.4958.1794.039
ATL1-00.50434.90848.78332.87416.2317.9893.956
ARI1-00.50325.81643.80429.45914.5107.1403.526
SD0-10.49722.18531.43419.6249.5674.6612.268
NO0-10.49614.47725.06915.3497.4483.6141.761
CLE0-10.49514.29324.85415.2307.4103.6051.746
CHI0-10.49414.17425.53415.8217.6523.7031.798
IND0-10.48913.96923.82414.4966.9603.3441.598
OAK0-10.48718.86326.13215.5757.4283.5371.683
TB0-10.48513.06022.89513.6716.4733.0631.459
BAL0-10.48512.32722.00813.1776.2652.9791.412
DAL0-10.48018.02125.20314.6766.8693.2181.517
NE0-10.4809.33919.78011.7745.5452.6121.228
JAC0-10.47611.49221.45712.8466.0032.8081.303
GB0-10.47411.03518.95311.1335.1632.3961.115
NYG0-10.47316.62223.15513.2876.1222.8211.309
KC0-10.47216.38622.73713.1466.0742.8061.295
WAS0-10.47116.20423.79313.8486.3672.9251.352
STL0-10.4699.55118.50910.7994.9502.2701.046

2014-09-07

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 2

I'm always surprised when the teams separate enough in week 2 for me to actually have a distinct #1 and #2. In fact, there are very few ties through the ranks. There are 2-0 teams, 1-1 teams, 0-2 teams, 1-0 teams, and 0-1 teams, and I guess enough combinations of strengths of schedule to differentiate all these teams. On to the second-silliest rankings of the year: Week 2!

1LSU2-0
2UCLA2-0
3Oklahoma2-0
4Maryland2-0
5Oregon2-0
6Virginia Tech2-0
7Tennessee2-0
8Arizona2-0
9BYU2-0
10Texas A&M2-0
11Mississippi State2-0
12Washington2-0
13Auburn2-0
14North Carolina2-0
14Illinois2-0
16Notre Dame2-0
17Florida State2-0
18USC2-0
19Missouri2-0
20Louisville2-0
21Wyoming2-0
22Texas Tech2-0
23North Carolina State2-0
24Iowa2-0
25Oregon State2-0
26Louisiana-Monroe2-0
27Northern Illinois2-0
28Ole Miss2-0
29Penn State2-0
30Pittsburgh2-0
31Minnesota2-0
32California2-0
33Alabama2-0
34Kansas State2-0
35Nebraska2-0
36Marshall2-0
37Nevada2-0
38Central Michigan2-0
39Kentucky2-0
40New Mexico State2-0
41Georgia Tech2-0
42Duke2-0
43Utah2-0
44Arizona State2-0
45Rutgers2-0
46Baylor2-0
47Syracuse1-0
48Georgia1-0
49Indiana1-0
50Virginia1-1
51Louisiana Tech1-1
52Ohio State1-1
53South Carolina1-1
54Boise State1-1
55Clemson1-1
56Texas State1-0
56Kansas1-0
58South Florida1-1
59Arkansas State1-1
60Michigan State1-1
61Wisconsin1-1
62Army1-0
63Texas1-1
63Florida1-0
65Southern Miss1-1
66San Jose State1-1
67UTSA1-1
68Western Kentucky1-1
68Stanford1-1
70Michigan1-1
71San Diego State1-1
72Oklahoma State1-1
73TCU1-0
74Louisiana-Lafayette1-1
75East Carolina1-1
76Florida International1-1
77Navy1-1
78Colorado State1-1
79Memphis1-1
80UNLV1-1
81Toledo1-1
82Tulsa1-1
83Connecticut1-1
83Ball State1-1
85Utah State1-1
86UAB1-1
87South Alabama1-0
88Purdue1-1
89Miami (FL)1-1
90UTEP1-1
91Wake Forest1-1
92Arkansas1-1
93Akron1-1
94Air Force1-1
95Georgia Southern1-1
96Middle Tennessee1-1
97West Virginia1-1
98Boston College1-1
99Ohio1-1
100Georgia State1-1
101North Texas1-1
102Appalachian State1-1
102Bowling Green1-1
104Buffalo1-1
105Eastern Michigan1-1
106Houston1-1
107Temple1-1
108Colorado1-1
109Rice0-1
110Idaho0-1
111UCF0-1
112Hawaii0-2
113Northwestern0-2
114Fresno State0-2
115Florida Atlantic0-2
116Iowa State0-2
117Miami (OH)0-2
118Washington State0-2
119Western Michigan0-1
120Tulane0-2
121Troy0-2
122New Mexico0-2
123Vanderbilt0-2
124SMU0-2
125Kent State0-2
126Massachusetts0-2

2014 History

2014-09-05

eBay Wins #141

Today I've got the 1990 Donruss and Score cards from my giant pile of eBay penny cards. It's nothing against Dion James, but I didn't really want to feature him in his own post next time.

1990 Donruss
#2 Steve Sax
#46 Kelly Mann
#93 Jeffrey Leonard
#263 Andres Thomas
#308 Tom Browning
#387 Dave West
#497 Jim Presley
1990 Score
#514 Dion James
I have an attachment to 1990 Donruss, because it was the first set I realistically thought I could complete by buying packs, when I bought a dirt cheap box from either my LCS or a Flea Market, I forget which, around 1994. I know some people think it's ugly, but I like it for sentimental reasons, not aesthetic. Somehow, even with that box and all the collecting I've done through the years, I'm still a little short of the full set. One day I'll go on a COMC or similar spending spree of a buck or two, and it will be mine.

eBay Bargain Tracker
Total Cards Bought3202
Total Spent$50.55
Per Card1.579 cents
Change-0.001 cents

2014-09-03

Zistle Trade #9

These cards cost me some Thomes, some Cabreras, some Ortizes, and a couple of Ichiros. But I got a few Cardinal managers, and closer to completing 2012 Update. It's win/win, like any trade should be.

1987 Topps #68 Tony La Russa
1988 Topps #344 Tony La Russa
1988 Topps #744 Whitey Herzog
2012 Topps Update #US3 Adam Kennedy
2012 Topps Update #US26 Santiago Casilla
2012 Topps Update #US27 Cesar Izturis
Several of the Update cards happened to be Cardinals too, including Adam Kennedy and Cesar Izturis.

2012 Topps Update
#US58 Manny Acosta
#US69 Brett Jackson
#US80 Jered Weaver
#US92 Chone Figgins
#US102 Brandon League
#US115 Jason Grilli
#US121 Johnny Damon
#US141 R.A. Dickey

2012 Topps Update
#US162 Yu Darvish
#US169 Steve Cishek
#US205 Travis Ishikawa
#US219 Brian Fuentes
#US235 Marc Rzepczynski
#US279 Ryan Cook
#US289 Prince Fielder
#US302 Lucas Harrell
The sportscasters here liked to call Rzepczynski "Scrabble". I don't know if that nickname predated his time here, or just reflects our relatively low Polish population.

2012 Topps Update
#US17 Joe Smith
#US170 Jerry Hairston
#US238 Shawn Camp
#US294 Sergio Santos
#US316 Ryan Theriot
Finally I got one more Cardinal middle infielder, short-timer Ryan Theriot.

If my Zistle want list is to be believed - and it usually is - I still need over 70 cards to finish the Update set. But, this knocked out about a quarter of the list.