2016-11-08

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 9, Final

New England over Dallas

Seattle stole a win from Buffalo with some questionable penalty calls and non-calls near the end of the second half, and increased their Division chances by about 10 points. They took most of that from Arizona, and a little from LA and San Francisco, who had much less to give. Buffalo fell from a meager 1.5% to 0.5%, because New England is well ahead of them and the rest of the division already.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE7-10.65897.6599.1697.6761.2037.6321.50
DAL7-10.65186.7197.7391.0955.2432.8918.48
PHI4-40.6153.2436.7921.8011.136.023.15
DEN6-30.60222.1370.9751.7127.4614.127.24
ARI3-4-10.58823.4836.3222.3211.235.592.78
MIN5-30.57555.3369.1346.8923.2711.195.41
KC6-20.57439.8980.1061.1131.8815.067.28
SEA5-2-10.56974.5482.4759.2129.6513.996.68
ATL6-30.56876.4283.7959.8329.6713.936.63
BUF4-50.5640.5519.9311.695.212.541.20
OAK7-20.54037.3182.9661.4429.0512.675.69
SD4-50.5340.6714.378.093.371.540.68
PIT4-40.52744.5848.7825.1911.024.792.09
GB4-40.52120.5332.6617.347.443.191.37
NO4-40.50618.7331.6716.987.072.931.22
BAL4-40.50237.4040.1819.407.953.291.36
DET5-40.49823.3139.5921.338.703.521.44
CAR3-50.4963.046.853.231.280.520.21
WAS4-3-10.4942.0226.5012.524.862.020.82
NYG5-30.4938.0248.0024.159.413.871.56
TEN4-50.48316.8620.459.413.621.430.56
MIA4-40.4811.7216.158.593.241.310.52
IND4-50.47118.3821.029.203.421.300.50
CIN3-4-10.45418.0219.237.962.871.060.39
HOU5-30.42862.5564.0027.639.453.181.09
LA3-50.4101.953.381.370.440.150.05
TB3-50.4091.813.701.430.460.150.05
CHI2-60.3910.831.390.500.150.050.01
JAC2-60.3822.212.250.740.210.060.02
NYJ3-60.3790.070.460.190.060.020.01
SF1-70.3540.030.040.010.000.000.00
CLE0-90.3250.010.010.000.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas

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