2016-10-18

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 6, Monday

New England over Minnesota

Arizona had a huge win over the New York Jets that really improved their strength, and their chances at making the Superbowl, more than doubling them. 3-3's still 2.5 games behind Minnesota though, and there are 2 other stronger NFC teams, so they're still just about 9.5% likely to make the big game.

The Jets have now taken over as the weakest team in the league. They're slightly better positioned to make the playoffs than 0-6 Cleveland, but would be projected to lose to them head to head.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE5-10.61862.5792.7077.9545.1326.2514.14
MIN5-00.61686.3594.0283.0447.1325.9114.27
BUF4-20.61136.2177.1457.4532.0218.169.65
PHI3-20.60623.5652.0535.5618.9910.095.45
DAL5-10.60058.5684.1266.4836.0218.9310.11
ARI3-30.59832.3452.3334.7018.139.465.03
DEN4-20.56943.7866.1949.3025.8712.946.33
SEA4-10.56557.3770.5649.3224.3211.805.89
PIT4-20.56167.6676.2954.3028.1213.876.67
ATL4-20.55072.0675.7545.7821.4210.004.84
SD2-40.5316.9118.6210.855.082.361.06
KC3-20.51527.3246.3128.7813.325.922.58
BAL3-30.50527.4839.0422.2510.064.411.88
GB3-20.5028.4733.9917.677.363.131.37
WAS4-20.50013.3841.0422.719.524.001.74
DET3-30.4944.8822.2611.214.601.920.83
TEN3-30.48424.4633.4417.947.563.131.27
NO2-30.48116.0221.8310.484.151.660.69
OAK4-20.48022.0045.4627.8411.834.841.94
IND2-40.4779.0613.556.632.711.110.44
CAR1-50.4751.993.101.350.520.210.08
NYG3-30.4664.5015.607.412.851.110.45
MIA2-40.4651.116.853.331.330.550.21
HOU4-20.45551.9858.4931.7612.574.811.82
JAC2-30.44814.5017.778.263.181.210.45
LA3-30.4409.7718.188.282.991.090.41
CIN2-40.4244.527.112.991.100.400.14
TB2-30.4149.9412.785.131.710.580.20
CHI1-50.4100.301.380.520.170.060.02
SF1-50.4040.521.020.380.120.040.01
CLE0-60.3910.340.410.140.050.020.01
NYJ1-50.3740.120.630.240.080.020.01

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota

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