Superbowl LI Projection, Week 6, Monday

New England over Minnesota

Arizona had a huge win over the New York Jets that really improved their strength, and their chances at making the Superbowl, more than doubling them. 3-3's still 2.5 games behind Minnesota though, and there are 2 other stronger NFC teams, so they're still just about 9.5% likely to make the big game.

The Jets have now taken over as the weakest team in the league. They're slightly better positioned to make the playoffs than 0-6 Cleveland, but would be projected to lose to them head to head.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	5-1	0.618	62.57	92.70	77.95	45.13	26.25	14.14
MIN	5-0	0.616	86.35	94.02	83.04	47.13	25.91	14.27
BUF	4-2	0.611	36.21	77.14	57.45	32.02	18.16	9.65
PHI	3-2	0.606	23.56	52.05	35.56	18.99	10.09	5.45
DAL	5-1	0.600	58.56	84.12	66.48	36.02	18.93	10.11
ARI	3-3	0.598	32.34	52.33	34.70	18.13	9.46	5.03
DEN	4-2	0.569	43.78	66.19	49.30	25.87	12.94	6.33
SEA	4-1	0.565	57.37	70.56	49.32	24.32	11.80	5.89
PIT	4-2	0.561	67.66	76.29	54.30	28.12	13.87	6.67
ATL	4-2	0.550	72.06	75.75	45.78	21.42	10.00	4.84
SD	2-4	0.531	6.91	18.62	10.85	5.08	2.36	1.06
KC	3-2	0.515	27.32	46.31	28.78	13.32	5.92	2.58
BAL	3-3	0.505	27.48	39.04	22.25	10.06	4.41	1.88
GB	3-2	0.502	8.47	33.99	17.67	7.36	3.13	1.37
WAS	4-2	0.500	13.38	41.04	22.71	9.52	4.00	1.74
DET	3-3	0.494	4.88	22.26	11.21	4.60	1.92	0.83
TEN	3-3	0.484	24.46	33.44	17.94	7.56	3.13	1.27
NO	2-3	0.481	16.02	21.83	10.48	4.15	1.66	0.69
OAK	4-2	0.480	22.00	45.46	27.84	11.83	4.84	1.94
IND	2-4	0.477	9.06	13.55	6.63	2.71	1.11	0.44
CAR	1-5	0.475	1.99	3.10	1.35	0.52	0.21	0.08
NYG	3-3	0.466	4.50	15.60	7.41	2.85	1.11	0.45
MIA	2-4	0.465	1.11	6.85	3.33	1.33	0.55	0.21
HOU	4-2	0.455	51.98	58.49	31.76	12.57	4.81	1.82
JAC	2-3	0.448	14.50	17.77	8.26	3.18	1.21	0.45
LA	3-3	0.440	9.77	18.18	8.28	2.99	1.09	0.41
CIN	2-4	0.424	4.52	7.11	2.99	1.10	0.40	0.14
TB	2-3	0.414	9.94	12.78	5.13	1.71	0.58	0.20
CHI	1-5	0.410	0.30	1.38	0.52	0.17	0.06	0.02
SF	1-5	0.404	0.52	1.02	0.38	0.12	0.04	0.01
CLE	0-6	0.391	0.34	0.41	0.14	0.05	0.02	0.01
NYJ	1-5	0.374	0.12	0.63	0.24	0.08	0.02	0.01

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota