2016-12-25

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 16, Saturday

New England over Dallas

Cleveland won a game (!) Dallas clinched home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs, Atlanta and Houston each clinched their divisions, the Giants and got a wildcard, and Carolina, Buffalo, Minnesota, and New Orleans have all been eliminated. Tampa is now in the Needs-A-Miracle slot, and they are also depending on Washington to tie to get them to the playoffs. I really hope if it comes down to needing a tie, that's the game they flex to prime time in week 17.

New England outscored the Jets 41-3 yesterday, skyrocketing their strength and causing them to now be 40% favorites to win the Super bowl. My records aren't perfectly easy to sort though, but I believe no team has ever crossed even 30% during the season before. The smart money's on them right now.

Oh yeah, Merry Christmas!

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE13-20.814++++++78.6259.0940.44
DAL12-20.710++++++65.5637.1617.46
ATL10-50.694++++89.1053.0728.5612.92
OAK12-30.58885.09++95.0547.2614.796.19
SEA9-5-10.637++++69.6432.5815.396.08
KC10-40.59814.9195.2764.7325.209.464.05
PIT9-50.63470.2677.9246.1523.058.503.95
GB9-60.56753.3576.7339.1414.075.681.89
NYG10-50.542-++44.6015.275.821.81
DET9-50.53646.6582.4940.2313.845.151.57
MIA10-50.508-87.9940.119.573.431.18
BAL8-60.59729.7429.7416.618.042.621.12
WAS8-6-10.541-40.7817.305.622.240.70
HOU9-60.397++++32.967.161.550.39
DEN8-60.595-9.074.391.100.570.24
TB8-70.468-0.000.000.000.000.00
BUF7-80.577------
PHI6-90.547------
ARI6-8-10.535------
NO7-80.534------
IND7-80.528------
SD5-100.495------
TEN8-70.492------
CIN5-9-10.484------
MIN7-80.481------
CAR6-90.440------
JAC3-120.343------
CHI3-120.306------
SF2-130.218------
LA4-110.214------
NYJ4-110.208------
CLE1-140.175------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: New England (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: Dallas (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 12, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas

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