2016-09-27

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 3, Final

Philadelphia over New England

Before last night, Atlanta was at an even .500 strength, having scored exactly as many points as they allowed. New Orleans was just a few teams behind them, despite being 0-2. They've moved in opposite directions after last night, with New Orleans joining the rest of the 0-3 teams.

Of course, as neither team last night was near the top, nor even share a division with a team at the top, the projection remains the same.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PHI3-00.58960.0279.7865.4237.4621.1711.91
NE3-00.56671.2582.2567.1637.3720.5110.84
MIN3-00.55765.9780.6964.9634.7818.159.61
DEN3-00.54946.7273.2756.3530.0715.848.10
KC2-10.54427.5455.8338.6120.1710.505.32
SEA2-10.54442.5154.8537.9819.439.845.09
BAL3-00.53562.3976.5858.3230.1515.317.61
DAL2-10.53320.3148.3231.6015.707.863.98
ARI1-20.53124.8037.1423.9611.855.832.94
SD1-20.5249.4826.7616.448.174.081.98
ATL2-10.51845.8952.8133.4416.117.713.79
GB2-10.51622.3346.1429.3314.096.743.29
CAR1-20.51130.2736.6421.4310.114.772.31
BUF1-20.50611.5924.0814.166.793.271.53
NYG2-10.50515.8040.9725.2311.755.522.64
OAK2-10.50216.2639.0824.7811.795.612.60
PIT2-10.49827.2744.9128.3813.406.302.90
MIA1-20.4948.8022.8313.176.122.871.31
DET1-20.4939.3822.3112.885.882.681.25
SF1-20.48212.7720.6911.495.092.261.03
IND1-20.47826.8732.5717.677.873.521.55
NO0-30.4738.0610.565.352.311.000.45
NYJ1-20.4698.3616.248.933.971.770.76
HOU2-10.46941.7547.2626.3011.495.022.17
CIN1-20.4617.7315.078.113.521.530.65
WAS1-20.4603.8713.537.123.011.290.56
TEN1-20.46022.0526.3913.595.812.501.06
LA2-10.45919.9231.1517.787.493.141.36
TB1-20.45315.7819.409.653.991.650.71
JAC0-30.4469.3310.985.122.110.880.36
CLE0-30.4462.615.902.921.210.510.21
CHI0-30.4322.325.022.390.950.380.15

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England

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