2015-01-11

Superbowl XLIX Projection, Divisional Saturday

Seattle over New England

This is the first time I can recall - note that I said recall; I haven't actually researched this point, but it seems truthy in my head - the first day of the divisional round involved both #1 seeds. Since they both won, my projection stayed stable, and will after Sunday too. With more information, here are my updated rooting interests:

Green Bay at Dallas: On some level I root for my projections to be right, but I think I'll be rooting for the winner of this game to go to Seattle and beat them to win the NFC. Since Dallas already did that once this year, and Green Bay failed to do it, I'll stay with Dallas in this one.

Indianapolis at Denver: With the Patriots win, my projections look good, but I'll again be rooting for the winner of this game to win on the road next week. I suspect Denver has the best chance of that, though the Patriots beat them both by 22 points at home in consecutive games.

TEAMRecordStrengthQtrSemiChamp
SEA12-40.788+59.4534.89
NE12-40.752+59.2328.88
GB12-40.73053.8122.7211.59
DAL12-40.69946.1917.828.43
DEN12-40.69254.0523.029.54
IND11-50.65645.9517.766.67

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Cincinnati (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Indianapolis (Week 7, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Arizona (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 14, Sunday)
First to clinch Playoffs (sort of): Arizona (Week 15, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs (for real this time): Arizona, New England, Indianapolis, Denver (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: New England (Week 16, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: New England (Week 16, Final)

First team eliminated: Oakland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Sunday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Thursday]
[Week 16, Saturday]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]

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