Superbowl LI Projection, Week 12, Final

New England over Dallas

Philadelphia was the third strongest team before their loss last night, despite being 5-5 on the season. Green Bay was 23rd, but they pulled off the win on the road. Philadelphia would now need to win out, have Dallas lose out, and get some losses from the other two teams in the division, as well as getting some tiebreakers to fall correctly, in order to win their division. Buffalo and Philadelphia are teams that have really outplayed their records, which basically means they've been unlucky, or have won some games by a large margin while losing their games by small margins.

In Week 13 there are two final byes, Cleveland and Tennessee, and everyone will have played 12 games. We'll probably see several more eliminations as teams run out of room to catch the leaders, and perhaps a playoff clinch or two.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	9-2	0.683	94.73	99.05	97.29	62.09	38.91	22.45
DAL	10-1	0.682	92.65	99.88	96.84	62.26	38.55	22.18
DEN	7-4	0.597	6.86	46.66	29.93	14.48	7.11	3.45
PIT	6-5	0.591	55.03	59.77	33.31	16.22	7.77	3.72
SEA	7-3-1	0.591	96.94	97.63	79.23	41.81	19.32	9.24
PHI	5-6	0.589	0.01	9.22	4.91	2.11	1.06	0.51
BUF	6-5	0.588	0.25	26.03	15.02	6.74	3.31	1.57
ATL	7-4	0.586	81.74	87.67	59.89	29.93	13.84	6.55
KC	8-3	0.583	37.23	82.92	62.55	31.51	14.47	6.81
MIN	6-5	0.565	23.78	44.91	24.52	10.68	4.89	2.21
OAK	9-2	0.556	55.89	92.06	75.88	36.39	15.51	6.89
NO	5-6	0.543	8.81	15.05	7.63	3.17	1.39	0.60
BAL	6-5	0.542	44.13	46.75	22.89	9.83	4.28	1.84
NYG	8-3	0.542	7.10	78.43	41.86	16.91	7.49	3.22
SD	5-6	0.537	0.02	3.28	1.65	0.64	0.29	0.12
ARI	4-6-1	0.537	3.00	6.06	2.95	1.19	0.52	0.22
WAS	6-4-1	0.530	0.24	51.52	24.47	9.22	4.06	1.70
TEN	6-6	0.522	25.57	27.20	12.49	5.05	2.07	0.85
DET	7-4	0.519	65.89	73.02	41.74	17.23	6.84	2.79
MIA	7-4	0.519	5.02	40.53	22.42	8.91	3.74	1.53
CAR	4-7	0.491	0.49	1.16	0.51	0.18	0.07	0.03
GB	5-6	0.473	10.32	13.15	5.73	1.97	0.73	0.26
TB	6-5	0.470	8.96	22.15	9.68	3.33	1.24	0.45
IND	5-6	0.444	20.84	21.12	7.93	2.62	0.88	0.30
CIN	3-7-1	0.429	0.84	0.84	0.30	0.10	0.03	0.01
HOU	6-5	0.402	53.56	53.75	18.34	5.42	1.62	0.49
NYJ	3-8	0.353	-	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
JAC	2-9	0.349	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
LA	4-7	0.343	0.06	0.14	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
CHI	2-9	0.318	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	1-10	0.311	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	0-12	0.237	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas