2017-01-16

Superbowl LI Projection, Divisional Sunday

New England over Atlanta

Green Bay won a thrilling game in Dallas, scoring a field goal to go ahead with almost no time left, then allowing a tying field goal with even less time, then managing to move downfield and score one to end it. In Kansas City, Pittsburgh never found the endzone, but scored 6 field goals and held Kansas City to 10 points until a late touchdown, but the 2 point conversion failed after a penalty, and Pittsburgh held on to win it.

Here's who I'm rooting for to make the Superbowl:

Green Bay at Atlanta:
I'm more a fan of Green Bay than Atlanta, so I'll be rooting for them. As a bonus, that will guarantee a Superbowl rematch, either from XXXI or XLV.

Pittsburgh at New England:
I've got to root for Pittsburgh in this one. In both cases I'll be rooting against my picks in Collector's Crack's Superbowl contest, though. They're probably going to have to score at least one touchdown to win this game.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE14-20.845++++++++75.0855.26
ATL11-50.701++++++++62.9923.07
PIT11-50.645++++++++24.9212.08
GB10-60.580++++++++37.019.58
DAL13-30.722++++++---
KC12-40.661++++++---
SEA10-5-10.640++++++---
ARI7-8-10.606------
DEN9-70.585------
PHI7-90.577------
NYG11-50.565-++----
OAK12-40.558-++----
BAL8-80.549------
MIN8-80.547------
BUF7-90.540------
IND8-80.535------
WAS8-7-10.525------
NO7-90.524------
CIN6-9-10.523------
TEN9-70.506------
SD5-110.477------
DET9-70.475-++----
TB9-70.469------
MIA10-60.466-++----
CAR6-100.436------
HOU9-70.381++++++---
JAC3-130.335------
CHI3-130.255------
NYJ5-110.234------
SF2-140.211------
CLE1-150.167------
LA4-120.156------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 16, Saturday)
First to 45% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 17, Final)
First to 50% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: New England (Week 15, Sunday)
First to clinch homefield advantage throughout the playoffs: Dallas (Week 16, Saturday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 12, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 13, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 14, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 15, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 16, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 17, Final] New England over Dallas
[Wildcard Saturday] New England over Dallas
[Wildcard Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Divisional Saturday] New England over Atlanta

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