2016-09-20

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 2, Final

Philadelphia over Houston

With a strong win over Chicago, Philadelphia is now the top team by strength, and Chicago is almost to the bottom, just above Los Angeles. Pittsburgh also lost its slight lead in the AFC, because their next opponent is...Philadelphia. That slightly lowered chance of a win knocked their odds just below Houston to win the AFC. Houston has already played Chicago, so didn't benefit at all from their fall.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
PHI2-00.55447.1468.1452.0828.3915.388.23
ARI1-10.54941.4055.6240.2521.6011.526.10
PIT2-00.54746.4267.5950.2426.8714.327.57
HOU2-00.53860.7970.8452.4727.5214.337.45
BAL2-00.52939.4063.0244.9623.0811.846.05
MIN2-00.52950.8965.1647.9024.7312.656.45
SD1-10.52822.3540.7726.9113.747.003.56
DEN2-00.52843.0461.1344.3322.7211.575.88
CAR1-10.52840.0551.0035.0517.929.124.63
NE2-00.51753.4863.8844.3822.1611.015.48
SF1-10.51630.9743.5328.5114.257.103.53
NYG2-00.51134.2358.9941.0520.2610.014.92
NYJ1-10.50828.9840.5325.2212.326.022.94
DAL1-10.50614.9133.7521.1010.315.052.46
DET1-10.50523.3838.2324.6412.025.852.84
GB1-10.50218.9734.2321.3710.355.002.42
ATL1-10.50024.6934.2621.4310.334.962.39
KC1-10.49818.4533.0020.219.674.632.22
NO0-20.49214.7720.5011.935.652.671.26
OAK1-10.49216.1530.3118.678.824.161.97
CIN1-10.48510.7026.8915.777.333.431.60
TEN1-10.48021.4933.1619.709.054.161.92
MIA0-20.4798.4715.408.473.881.780.82
SEA1-10.47916.4126.2815.807.293.361.54
BUF0-20.4769.0814.788.003.641.660.76
IND0-20.4759.7615.798.613.921.790.82
WAS0-20.4603.7310.095.472.421.080.47
TB1-10.45920.5028.1315.886.983.061.35
JAC0-20.4577.9612.986.842.991.310.58
CLE0-20.4563.479.925.212.271.000.44
CHI0-20.4556.7712.426.672.911.270.55
LA1-10.44111.2219.6910.874.591.940.82


[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota


2 comments:

  1. "...With a strong win over Chicago".

    Strong? It was frigging Chicago and that sad excuse we put out for a team. Snoop Dogg's pee wee team would pick Cutler 3 times.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Strong is only relative to my system, which uses the score, not the strength of the team played. This system doesn't care if you beat good teams or bad teams, the team strength is only based on points scored and allowed. That's why it can look a little goofy for the first few weeks, especially if your schedule starts off easy or hard.

      Beating a better team will increase your playoff odds more, because you've outplayed your average expected performance by more, but the raw strength number doesn't care who you played.

      Delete