2016-11-04

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 9, Thursday

New England over Dallas

Atlanta gained a little bit of ground and Tampa lost a little last night, but the game went mostly as projected. Each team moved two spots in the strength ranking. Not only did Atlanta knock Tampa's NFC South chances from 11% down to 2.5%, they also took Carolina down by 1.5% and New Orleans down about 3.5%, raising themselves about 13.5% to about 82.5%. No one else was affected very much, so we have the same projection we had Monday.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE7-10.65897.1399.2297.3260.8936.6521.34
PHI4-30.62315.0460.1239.5321.6212.036.33
DEN6-20.62248.4286.2870.5540.5421.3511.61
DAL6-10.61075.6294.5282.8045.7824.9512.79
MIN5-20.59068.2882.6663.8033.5417.138.43
ARI3-4-10.58830.7740.2223.9212.216.233.05
BUF4-40.5761.6435.5121.169.594.702.33
ATL6-30.56882.4587.0861.5530.5514.836.97
KC5-20.56129.8971.1250.1324.4011.145.36
SEA4-2-10.55962.2169.7344.5321.5810.314.75
PIT4-30.54165.9569.3439.2317.557.733.56
GB4-30.53222.8446.3626.5712.045.412.35
SD3-50.5220.369.775.232.060.900.40
OAK6-20.52221.3365.6143.2118.787.853.47
TEN4-40.49827.3933.9116.886.672.681.12
WAS4-3-10.4943.4327.0513.165.372.250.90
CAR2-50.4922.565.332.420.980.410.16
DET4-40.4868.4722.0111.334.611.870.73
BAL3-40.48619.7422.3010.333.961.560.64
NYG4-30.4815.9128.4213.975.552.250.87
NO3-40.47812.5420.5710.043.991.590.61
MIA3-40.4721.0211.005.542.000.780.31
IND3-50.46310.1512.145.181.830.680.26
CIN3-4-10.45414.2816.496.912.420.890.33
HOU5-30.42858.8161.5526.218.692.901.02
LA3-40.4226.729.764.091.420.490.16
TB3-50.4092.454.751.810.600.200.06
JAC2-50.3963.643.931.380.410.130.04
CHI2-60.3910.401.040.370.110.040.01
NYJ3-50.3860.221.820.740.220.070.02
SF1-60.3780.300.370.120.040.010.00
CLE0-80.3630.030.030.010.000.000.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas

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