Superbowl LI Projection, Week 9, Sunday

New England over Dallas

My superbowl teams are now also my two strongest teams, a little over halfway through the season. Dallas won and overtook both Philadelphia and Denver, who both lost. New England, on a bye week, increased their odds just a bit due partially to that Denver loss. Dallas went from a 1 in 4 to 1 in 3 chance of winning the NFC, helped by Minnesota's loss to Detroit.

Cleveland's 0-16 chances are up to 7.29%. Their Superbowl odds are at .000023%. To put that in clearer perspective, in 100,000,000 possible futures from this point forward, they'd win in just 23 of them.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	7-1	0.658	96.76	98.95	97.34	60.74	37.30	21.35
DAL	7-1	0.651	86.68	97.78	91.51	55.64	33.27	18.68
PHI	4-4	0.615	3.28	37.63	22.39	11.43	6.21	3.25
DEN	6-3	0.602	22.19	68.65	50.30	26.72	13.71	7.04
ARI	3-4-1	0.588	31.80	41.50	25.60	12.97	6.46	3.20
BUF	4-4	0.576	1.59	31.50	19.13	8.83	4.39	2.14
MIN	5-3	0.575	55.25	69.44	48.11	24.10	11.59	5.60
KC	6-2	0.574	39.98	78.29	60.03	31.32	14.77	7.16
ATL	6-3	0.568	76.39	83.94	61.86	30.99	14.54	6.91
SEA	4-2-1	0.559	64.79	72.25	48.02	23.35	10.82	5.05
OAK	7-2	0.539	37.16	80.81	60.13	28.42	12.38	5.57
SD	4-5	0.534	0.68	13.07	7.38	3.08	1.40	0.62
PIT	4-4	0.527	44.41	48.05	24.64	10.79	4.68	2.05
GB	4-4	0.521	20.66	33.24	17.98	7.78	3.34	1.44
NO	4-4	0.506	18.70	31.98	17.71	7.44	3.08	1.28
BAL	4-4	0.502	37.64	39.96	19.10	7.84	3.24	1.34
DET	5-4	0.498	23.26	40.00	22.21	9.14	3.70	1.51
CAR	3-5	0.496	3.08	7.09	3.39	1.35	0.55	0.23
WAS	4-3-1	0.494	2.02	26.67	12.68	4.93	2.06	0.83
NYG	5-3	0.493	8.02	48.58	24.66	9.62	3.97	1.60
TEN	4-5	0.483	16.87	20.00	9.12	3.52	1.39	0.55
MIA	4-4	0.481	1.59	14.66	7.82	2.96	1.20	0.47
IND	4-5	0.471	18.39	20.67	8.96	3.34	1.27	0.49
CIN	3-4-1	0.454	17.95	18.94	7.77	2.81	1.03	0.38
HOU	5-3	0.428	62.57	63.83	27.39	9.38	3.15	1.08
LA	3-5	0.410	3.34	4.56	1.84	0.61	0.20	0.07
TB	3-5	0.409	1.83	3.84	1.52	0.49	0.16	0.05
CHI	2-6	0.391	0.82	1.42	0.52	0.16	0.05	0.02
JAC	2-6	0.382	2.18	2.22	0.72	0.21	0.06	0.02
NYJ	3-6	0.379	0.06	0.39	0.16	0.05	0.01	0.00
SF	1-7	0.355	0.08	0.09	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
CLE	0-9	0.325	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas