Have we always had byes in Week 4 since the NFL went back to an even number of teams in 2002? Maybe it's just more noticeable when an undefeated team gets the bye. Despite being "only" 3-0, Philadelphia remains atop the NFC. In the AFC, Bill Belichick has been shown to not necessarily be a magical wizard, as New England finally lost one of the 4 games for which Tom Brady was suspended. The only undefeated AFC team, Denver, has taken over the top spot, with just about a 1 in 4 chance at winning the conference. Since I mentioned the first two, I guess I should mention the third undefeated team: Minnesota tries to stay in that group tonight.
The Rams are inexplicably 3-1, despite having a negative point differential. It's because the one loss was so big, but still, it looks weird to see a team down that low in strength be 3-1. I still have them with very slim chances of winning the division, but they're tied at the top of it for now, so who knows.
At the bottom of the league, Cleveland is 0-4, but Chicago remains ranked below them in strength, and Tampa has overtaken (undertaken?) them both to be the weakest team now.
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England