Superbowl LI Projection, Week 7, Thursday

New England over Minnesota

Green Bay improved their chances and Chicago fell to be the second worst team again, but the projection at the top stays the same. Minnesota about 5 percentage points off their chances of winning the NFC North, since Green Bay is in the same division, and is now just a game and a half behind. Still most of those simulations simply became wildcard berths, and as the strongest NFC team they barely lost any ground in their chances at a Superbowl appearance.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	5-1	0.618	62.57	92.71	77.98	45.14	26.25	14.14
MIN	5-0	0.616	81.71	93.18	81.78	46.23	25.39	13.98
BUF	4-2	0.611	36.21	77.19	57.49	32.04	18.17	9.66
PHI	3-2	0.606	23.14	49.48	33.88	18.09	9.60	5.19
DAL	5-1	0.600	58.77	83.06	65.83	35.58	18.68	9.98
ARI	3-3	0.598	32.62	50.88	33.66	17.57	9.17	4.88
DEN	4-2	0.569	43.77	66.22	49.34	25.88	12.95	6.33
SEA	4-1	0.565	56.91	68.98	47.84	23.56	11.42	5.71
PIT	4-2	0.561	67.65	76.31	54.34	28.14	13.87	6.67
ATL	4-2	0.550	71.44	74.77	44.59	20.85	9.73	4.71
GB	4-2	0.536	14.22	50.19	28.69	12.94	5.92	2.78
SD	2-4	0.531	6.91	18.67	10.88	5.09	2.36	1.06
KC	3-2	0.515	27.32	46.38	28.85	13.35	5.93	2.58
BAL	3-3	0.505	27.49	39.08	22.30	10.08	4.41	1.88
WAS	4-2	0.500	13.42	39.13	21.79	9.14	3.84	1.67
DET	3-3	0.494	4.03	20.05	10.08	4.14	1.73	0.74
TEN	3-3	0.484	24.78	33.63	18.02	7.60	3.15	1.28
NO	2-3	0.481	16.21	21.26	10.12	4.01	1.60	0.67
OAK	4-2	0.480	22.01	45.53	27.90	11.86	4.85	1.95
IND	2-4	0.477	8.95	13.30	6.49	2.66	1.09	0.43
CAR	1-5	0.475	2.01	2.95	1.28	0.49	0.20	0.08
NYG	3-3	0.466	4.66	14.68	7.04	2.72	1.06	0.43
MIA	2-4	0.465	1.11	6.88	3.34	1.33	0.55	0.21
HOU	4-2	0.455	51.57	57.99	31.36	12.41	4.75	1.79
JAC	2-3	0.448	14.70	17.93	8.32	3.20	1.22	0.45
LA	3-3	0.440	9.92	17.33	7.86	2.84	1.04	0.39
CIN	2-4	0.424	4.52	7.13	3.00	1.10	0.40	0.14
TB	2-3	0.414	10.34	12.86	5.12	1.71	0.58	0.20
SF	1-5	0.404	0.55	0.97	0.36	0.12	0.04	0.01
CLE	0-6	0.391	0.34	0.41	0.14	0.05	0.02	0.01
CHI	1-6	0.378	0.04	0.23	0.08	0.02	0.01	0.00
NYJ	1-5	0.374	0.12	0.64	0.24	0.08	0.02	0.01

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota