2017-01-11

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Final

Well this is a little unsatisfying. Clemson beat Alabama in a back and forth game, at least toward the end. But, thanks to a slight strength of schedule difference and their identical records, the result of my algorithm is Alabama still on top. Clemson's opponents won 125/195 games, and Alabama's won 126/196. That's not the only thing that comes into play, but it starts Alabama at #1 for the part of my algorithm that reranks repeatedly based on opponents' ranks until a stable ranking emerges.

In the past I've said that the playoff system practically guarantees I'll rate the champion #1, but I've realized that's not necessarily the case, especially if a very strong team with a stronger record ends up losing, like what happened this year. The top team that loses still gets a very good strength of schedule boost by playing 1 or 2 top-4 teams, so a single loss may not knock them out of the #1 spot, again, as it didn't this year. My rankings mostly tracked with the playoff committee again this year, except for that pesky non-power-conference Western Michigan I'd have put at #3 when the playoff began.

Alabama and Clemson start their quest for 3 consecutive title matchups in less than 8 months.


1Alabama14-1
2Clemson14-1
3Western Michigan13-1
4Washington12-2
5Ohio State11-2
6Oklahoma11-2
7Wisconsin11-3
8Penn State11-3
9Florida State10-3
10South Florida11-2
11Western Kentucky11-3
12San Diego State11-3
13USC10-3
14Michigan10-3
15West Virginia10-3
16Oklahoma State10-3
17Colorado10-4
18Boise State10-3
19Virginia Tech10-4
20Stanford10-3
21Appalachian State10-3
22Tennessee9-4
23Tulsa10-3
24Temple10-4
25Air Force10-3
26Florida9-4
27Georgia Tech9-4
28Troy10-3
29Miami9-4
30Old Dominion10-3
31Navy9-5
32LSU8-4
33Louisville9-4
34Nebraska9-4
35Utah9-4
36Minnesota9-4
37Kansas State9-4
38Houston9-4
39Toledo9-4
40North Carolina8-5
41BYU9-4
42Auburn8-5
43Idaho9-4
44Pittsburgh8-5
45Georgia8-5
46Washington State8-5
47New Mexico9-4
48Texas A&M8-5
49Louisiana Tech9-5
50Iowa8-5
51Wyoming8-6
52Memphis8-5
53Arkansas State8-5
54NC State7-6
55Arkansas7-6
56Colorado State7-6
57Northwestern7-6
58Kentucky7-6
59Middle Tennessee8-5
60Wake Forest7-6
61Ohio8-6
62Boston College7-6
63Army8-5
64Vanderbilt6-7
65Baylor7-6
66Eastern Michigan7-6
67Southern Mississippi7-6
68Hawai'i7-7
69Mississippi State6-7
70TCU6-7
71Ole Miss5-7
72South Carolina6-7
73UCF6-7
74Indiana6-7
75Louisiana Lafayette6-7
76South Alabama6-7
77Texas San Antonio6-7
78Maryland6-7
79California5-7
80Central Michigan6-7
81SMU5-7
82Arizona State5-7
83Miami (OH)6-7
84Texas Tech5-7
85Georgia Southern5-7
86Northern Illinois5-7
87Texas5-7
88Duke4-8
89Syracuse4-8
90North Texas5-8
91Missouri4-8
92Akron5-7
93UCLA4-8
94Oregon4-8
95Oregon State4-8
96Notre Dame4-8
97Louisiana Monroe4-8
98Tulane4-8
99Nevada5-7
100Cincinnati4-8
101Bowling Green4-8
102San Jose State4-8
103Arizona3-9
104UNLV4-8
105Utah State3-9
106Charlotte4-8
107Florida Intl4-8
108UTEP4-8
109New Mexico State3-9
110Illinois3-9
111Ball State4-8
112Iowa State3-9
113East Carolina3-9
114Georgia State3-9
115Michigan State3-9
116Purdue3-9
117Connecticut3-9
118Kent State3-9
119Rice3-9
120Marshall3-9
121Virginia2-10
122Florida Atlantic3-9
123Massachusetts2-10
124Rutgers2-10
125Kansas2-10
126Texas State2-10
127Buffalo2-10
128Fresno State1-11

2016 History and #1s
Week 1 Everybody who was 1-0, Except Michigan and California
Week 2 Texas
Week 3 Texas A&M
Week 4 Texas A&M
Week 5 Tennessee
Week 6 Texas A&M
Week 7 Alabama
Week 8 Alabama
Week 9 Alabama
Week 10 Alabama
Week 11 Alabama
Week 12 Alabama
Week 13 Alabama
Week 14 Alabama
Week 15 Alabama
Week 16 Alabama
Week 17 Alabama
Week 18 Alabama
Week 19 Alabama

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