Superbowl LI Projection, Week 11, Final

Dallas over New England

Oakland beat Houston in Mexico City to move up a few spots in the strength ranking, and increase their playoff chances by over 9 percentage points at 8-2. Houston took a similar downward hit, falling from 6-3 to 6-4. And for the record, San Francisco still isn't really eliminated, but didn't make it in any of my 1.5 billion simulations today.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
DAL	9-1	0.675	89.05	99.29	94.57	59.78	36.19	20.89
NE	8-2	0.671	93.94	98.40	96.28	60.89	37.63	21.28
PHI	5-5	0.616	0.64	25.60	14.74	6.98	3.66	1.88
SEA	7-2-1	0.606	95.43	97.39	87.85	48.73	23.61	11.91
DEN	7-3	0.606	24.03	70.99	52.36	27.59	13.92	6.90
ARI	4-5-1	0.580	4.42	14.93	8.50	3.88	1.86	0.89
KC	7-3	0.579	29.40	71.17	52.31	26.57	12.43	5.82
BUF	5-5	0.575	0.70	23.66	13.90	6.26	3.02	1.40
MIN	6-4	0.570	54.81	67.63	40.86	18.73	8.59	4.02
ATL	6-4	0.557	76.83	78.81	44.89	19.99	8.84	4.02
OAK	8-2	0.552	46.54	87.32	68.69	32.97	14.40	6.37
PIT	5-5	0.547	49.62	52.39	26.67	11.79	5.28	2.31
WAS	6-3-1	0.540	2.87	58.80	30.28	12.21	5.41	2.37
BAL	5-5	0.529	44.29	45.80	22.17	9.32	4.05	1.70
SD	4-6	0.523	0.04	2.93	1.52	0.59	0.26	0.11
DET	6-4	0.512	41.29	54.03	28.18	11.21	4.49	1.85
TEN	5-6	0.511	10.57	13.78	6.52	2.61	1.08	0.43
NYG	7-3	0.509	7.44	67.13	34.38	12.99	5.31	2.17
MIA	6-4	0.504	5.36	34.62	19.69	7.84	3.23	1.28
NO	4-6	0.498	8.78	10.59	4.81	1.79	0.70	0.28
CAR	4-6	0.496	3.78	5.24	2.35	0.86	0.34	0.13
IND	5-5	0.483	28.22	30.62	13.52	5.07	1.93	0.73
TB	5-5	0.455	10.61	14.76	6.23	2.10	0.74	0.27
GB	4-6	0.448	3.87	5.01	2.06	0.67	0.23	0.08
CIN	3-6-1	0.441	6.09	6.13	2.30	0.77	0.27	0.09
HOU	6-4	0.421	61.13	62.05	24.02	7.72	2.50	0.80
LA	4-6	0.397	0.15	0.76	0.29	0.08	0.03	0.01
NYJ	3-7	0.364	0.01	0.05	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00
JAC	2-8	0.362	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00
CHI	2-8	0.328	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
SF	1-9	0.323	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	0-11	0.262	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England