2016-12-05

Superbowl LI Projection, Week 13, Sunday

New England over Dallas

I think we all should have known that New England's game against LA would allow them to improve their points scored to points allowed ratio enough to overtake Dallas in strength. I've now had the same two teams winning each conference since Sunday of Week 8. They've swapped positions with each other a few times, but remained atop their respecive conferences.

Dallas is the first team to clinch a playoff spot, getting the loss they needed from Washington to guarantee they can't finish below 6th. Jacksonville is the third team completly out of the playoff hunt, while Los Angeles, Chicago, San Diego, and Washington have now been eliminated from their divisions.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
NE10-20.71499.1999.7099.0564.2341.1223.98
DAL11-10.69298.65++99.2465.2638.1521.20
SEA8-3-10.66298.6999.3592.1956.2129.3715.32
DEN8-40.6205.3265.9839.4318.709.144.39
BAL7-50.61551.3258.1231.7714.907.273.45
PIT7-50.61248.1360.3832.5315.377.343.46
ATL7-50.58576.6588.3852.3922.229.974.40
KC9-30.58335.2692.2567.8331.8913.505.96
OAK10-20.57959.4299.2582.8539.9116.537.25
MIN6-60.5605.7131.5515.755.942.601.09
BUF6-60.5600.007.133.311.320.580.24
ARI5-6-10.5531.3110.735.161.940.840.35
DET8-40.55183.9489.9953.7521.328.713.56
PHI5-70.550-2.281.100.400.170.07
SD5-70.526-0.570.250.080.040.01
TEN6-60.52233.2834.1014.965.602.130.82
NO5-70.5204.967.203.411.170.460.17
NYG8-40.5191.3568.0931.9210.974.301.63
WAS6-5-10.515-36.9216.615.552.190.82
GB6-60.48710.3517.027.592.400.870.30
TB7-50.48418.2948.3120.836.602.370.82
CIN4-7-10.4690.550.570.220.070.030.01
MIA7-50.4520.8114.885.931.880.620.20
IND5-60.44525.9126.089.402.870.890.28
CAR4-80.4300.090.170.070.020.010.00
HOU6-60.38340.8040.9912.473.180.820.22
NYJ3-80.353-0.000.000.000.000.00
CHI3-90.351-0.000.000.000.000.00
JAC2-100.326------
LA4-80.309-0.020.000.000.000.00
SF1-110.277------
CLE0-120.237------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 12, Thursday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Dallas (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated from winning a division: Cleveland, San Francisco (Week 11, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: Cleveland (Week 11, Sunday)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 6, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 6, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Sunday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] New England over Minnesota
[Week 8, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 8, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 9, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 10, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 10, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Sunday] Dallas over New England
[Week 11, Final] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Thursday] Dallas over New England
[Week 12, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 12, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 13, Thursday] Dallas over New England

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