2014-01-30

More Teenymates!

Last season I won some Series I Teenymates from Ross at Sports Card Info, and this year I won one of his contests for Series II.

This year, the players are Running Backs instead of Quarterbacks. Here's who I got:

Teenymates Series II
Chicago, Tennessee, Carolina, New England
That's my best effot at a dramatic "versus" pose, pitting the playoff teams against the non-playoff teams, since AFC vs NFC is out this year. Just ask the Pro Bowl.

Thanks, Ross. And everyone else, go follow Sports Card Info.

2014-01-28

A Contest, Get In Quick!

My fellow Cardinals fan Andrew of Andrews Baseball Cards is having a contest ending bright and early tomorrow morning. Go follow his blog, leave him a comment with your favorite team, and/or promote the contest on your blog, and you could win this card.

2013 Topps
Chasing History Relics #CHR-TT2 Troy Tulowitzki
The contest ends at 7:30 AM January 29 - Central Time I assume - so don't delay.

2014-01-27

eBay Wins #98

This time, I picked up 2 rookie cards for their minimum bid of 1 cent each. I wonder what these would have cost me in 1991. Maybe up to a buck, or more in LA or Houston.

1990 Donruss #34 Eric Anthony
1991 Upper Deck #4 Dave Hansen
Here we've got 2 promising young rookies, from a time when your rookie card typically came out the year after your first season of play. Eric Anthony made the Astros for 25 games in 1989, and Dave Hansen played 5 for the Dodgers in 1990. I also picked up the Topps version of the Eric Anthony rookie, a "Future Stars" card, last year.

Since both of these were rookies, I decided to have a look at baseball-reference.com to see how their careers compared. I was a little surprised, especially since my firsthand baseball knowledge goes back to 1992 when I discovered I really liked the game.

Eric Anthony played 9 years, all the way through 1997, for Houston, Seattle, Cincinnati, Colorado, and the Dodgers, but only 682 games, 282 of which came in 1992-1993 as a starter. I feel like I vaguely remember him being around, which is about right considering his role on his teams later in his career.

Dave Hansen, I was certain, must have flamed out after a year or two. His name didn't ring a bell at all. But, he played 1230 games in 15 seasons, missing 1998 but playing from 1990 to 2005. Either the unbalanced schedule kept me from being exposed to the Dodgers and Padres much more than I thought, or my memory of the full league isn't as good as I thought. He also played 90 games for the Cubs in 1997 at a time when teams play 10% of their games against each division rival, which should mean he faced the Cardinals more than a few times. Memory is a funny thing.


eBay Bargain Tracker
Total Cards Bought2521
Total Spent$44.04
Per Card1.747 cents

2014-01-25

Chavez Ravining Winnings

Alex at Chavez Ravining has had at least one contest running every day since I've been following him. A few weeks ago the Randomizer picked me, and I won a David Price Heritage Chrome card. He also threw in a few Cardinals for my collection.

2004 Topps Total - Team Checklists #TTC27 Albert Pujols
2008 Upper Deck First Edition Update #349 Matt Holliday
2008 Upper Deck First Edition Update #474 Chris Duncan
2012 Bowman Chrome #117 John Axford
2013 Bowman Draft Picks and Prospects - Prospects #BDPP125 Jake Stone
2013 Heritage - Chrome #HC60 David Price #139/999
It felt unbalanced to post a scan that Holliday card by itself, and 5 vertical cards, so turn your head a bit if you really want to see it. That's from his time with the Rockies, so along with that orange and black All-Star jersey, he's got some (purple, I believe) pinstriped pants on. That's quite a look.

Also in the bunch was a Pujols card I didn't have, local radio personality Chris Duncan, recent rent-a-reliever John Axford, and a kid who's only played 1 year at Rookie level so far, Jake Stone.

Thanks for the cards, Alex, and all the contests of course.

2014-01-23

eBay Wins #97

Hey, we're in 2014 now, so these are 25-year-old classics, right? Yet, they still only cost me a penny each.

1989 Donruss
#427 Joel Skinner
Bonus MVPs #BC-2 Mike Scott
I'm not sure what Mike Scott is doing these days, mostly because I didn't bother to look, but I'm guessing a few years ago he started taking a little ribbing from his friends.





eBay Bargain Tracker
Total Cards Bought2519
Total Spent$44.02
Per Card1.748 cents

2014-01-21

Junior Junkie's Birthday Gifts

Back in November, on Ken Griffey Jr.'s 44th birthday, Junior Junkie held a little giveaway. At stake were 44 cards, and the contest was simply a free-for-all. Everyone got to claim 2 cards, first come, first served. I managed to be the 6th one to see the post and claim cards, so there were 2 players I collect still on the board.

1997 Circa #148 Nomar Garciaparra
2000 Topps Chrome #468 RBI Leaders Mark McGwire/Manny Ramirez

 Just because you can't see Manny anywhere on the McGwire card, here are the backs
.
1997 Circa #148 Nomar Garciaparra
2000 Topps Chrome #468 RBI Leaders Mark McGwire/Manny Ramirez

For good measure, I even got an Allen and Ginter mini of Darryl Strawberry. He never played for the Cardinals, but for some reason lives in a suburb near me.
2013 Allen and Ginter
Mini #98 Darryl Strawberry
Thanks, Junior Junkie!

2014-01-19

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Championship Sunday

Seattle over Denver

The best teams as measured by my strength metric have made the Superbowl. I've been picking Seattle for quite some time, and Denver most weeks after the first time they beat Kansas City. I'll feel a little torn, since a Seattle win would seem to validate my system, but I'd like to see Peyton Manning get another ring. Mostly I'll just be hoping for game close enough to bring us 55 to 60 more minutes of exciting football to end the season.

And for zany commercials, of course.

Officially, I've got Seattle as almost a 2:1 favorite, but that feels awfully high on a neutral field. We'll see what happens in 2 weeks.

TEAMRecordStrengthChamp
SEA13-30.85662.763
DEN13-30.77937.237

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)
First to 60% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Championship Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]
[Divisional Saturday]
[Divisional Sunday]
[Mid-Championship Sunday]

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Mid-Championship Sunday

Seattle over Denver

I'm sitting around without much to do, so I figured, why not throw out one more data point in my season-long projections, which are looking pretty good so far.

The AFC Championship started off slow, but Denver took a lead, started to eat the clock, and I'd say New England was never really a strong threat to make a comeback, except maybe when they had a chance at a 2 point conversion to get within 8 points with 3 minutes to go. Of course, that's easy to say since they didn't ultimately come back.

Seattle's and San Francisco's chances of winning the Super Bowl dimmed just slightly with the Denver win, since they'd have been more heavily favored against New England.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA13-30.856++++63.93640.106
DEN13-30.779+++++42.333
SF12-40.770-+++36.06417.561

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]
[Divisional Saturday]
[Divisional Sunday]

2014-01-17

eBay Wins #96

Someone must have been cleaning out some sorted 1986 Topps cards. I won these 4 almost-sequential cards for a penny each. Either the seller didn't have #295 Kirk Gibson, or figured he could do better with that one elsewhere.

1986 Topps
#294 Danny Cox
#296 Geno Petralli
#297 Tim Lollar
#298 Craig Reynolds


eBay Bargain Tracker
Total Cards Bought2517
Total Spent$44.00
Per Card1.748 cents

2014-01-15

A Nice, Easy Contest

Following in the footsteps of It's Like Having My Own Card Shop, Alex at Chavez Ravining is having a philanthropic contest. The beneficiary this time is Dodger Penguin, and you should go follow him, and let Alex know for 1 entry. If you're already following, still, let him know for an entry. And you can promote it on your blog or on twitter for additional entries, much like I am here.

The top prize is your choice from Alex's growing Trade Bait list, and first through fourth place also get cards from their favorite teams and some Chavez Code points, which you'll just have to go read about.

TL;DR: Follow this guy, tell this guy.

Good luck!

2014-01-13

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Divisional Sunday

Seattle over Denver

Other than a very mild upset of San Francisco over Carolina, the top teams won all Divisional weekend. If Carolina had won, some pundits might have started arguing the playoffs have too many teams, as the first two weekends could have been completely skipped. The San Francisco win, however, legitimizes the wildcard, because the #5 seed is sometimes better than the #4, #3, and even #2 team when they are in the same division at the #1 seed.

I'll be rooting for Denver in the AFC, due to my sour grapes over New England's Super Bowl XXXVI win over the Rams. I maintain there should still be 2 to 4 seconds on the clock!

In the NFC, both teams are division rivals of the Rams, and neither really has any players of whom I'm a big fan, so I'm just rooting for an exciting game, which I'll dub "What's Your Deal VIII".


I think this is the 7th meeting of Jim Harbaugh and Pete Carroll since then, if I've counted correctly.


TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA13-30.856++++63.95542.522
DEN13-30.779++++60.77525.726
SF12-40.770-+++36.04519.074
NE12-40.695++++39.22512.678

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]
[Divisional Saturday]

2014-01-12

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Divisional Saturday

Seattle over New England

I really want to put a big asterisk on this projection, but it does make a little sense. New England is currently favored to win the AFC because, while Denver is the better team, they only have a 70.5% chance of even facing New England, who has advanced 1 round further than Denver's current position.

However, last year on Divisional Saturday, there was a similar situation, where Seattle was the strongest NFC team, but I had San Francisco as the favorite, because they won Saturday and Seattle was yet to play. As it turns out Seattle did indeed lose their Divisional game, and San Francisco won the NFC over Atlanta the next week. If Denver were to lose today, New England would remain the AFC favorite, because San Diego is the weakest team still alive in the playoffs. Otherwise, the favorite status will go back to Denver.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA13-30.856++++63.41243.757
DEN13-30.779+++70.51442.93118.134
CAR12-40.779+++51.28719.05010.881
SF12-40.770-++48.71317.5389.854
NE12-40.695++++45.50314.639
SD9-70.596-++29.48611.5662.736

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]

2014-01-10

Zistle Trade #7

1990 Kmart
#5 Tony Gwynn
#6 Kevin Mitchell
#16 Glenn Davis
#22 Kirby Pucket
1993 Topps - ToppsGold
#176 Darren Lewis
#204 Dan Pasqua
#238 Chris Daniels
#249 Tim Burke
For some reason, we've got Glenn Davis, career Astros player as of 1990, listed as DH/PH. Maybe you young kids don't remember, but way back before 2013, the Astros were a National League team. And before Interleague play was introduced as a novelty in 1997, NL teams didn't play in AL parks. As far as I can tell, he was never a DH in a real MLB game (maybe some spring training or minor league games) until 1991 with Baltimore.

I have many copies (more than 10 in some cases) of a few 1992 Bowman Cardinals cards. A fellow Cardinal fan, in fact, one who doesn't live that far from me, proposed 1 of each of them for these 8 cards from my want list. I think this era of cards makes me happiest, because it's when I first started watching baseball. Also, the 1992 and 1993 ToppsGold sets are on my long-term collecting goals list. So all in all, this was a great trade.


2014-01-08

Contests Contests Contests

Contests are great ways to get new followers to your blog, by bribing entrants to promote it for extra entries. Here are few such contests going on right now.

Dutch Card Guy is giving away quite a few cards, for comments, adding him to your blogroll, and of course, promoting the contest.

Daniel Wilson (no relation, I think) of It's like having my own Card Shop wants to help another blogger reach his 2014 goal of 100 followers, so follow Pack War and let him know for an entry. And, of course, promote it for a bonus entry. He's even opened it up for a second promotion if you're so inclined.

Finally, Chavez Ravining isn't offering a bonus for promotion, so this one's just to alert you of a relatively new blogger out there who has a nice giveaway every week. You can even get bonus entries through Twitter.

Good luck to you, but better luck to me.

2014-01-07

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Final

The final week consisted of just 2 games. First Arkansas State beat Ball State, then Florida State won the final BCS Championship over Auburn.

The top 31 teams remained in place, including Florida State at #1 and Auburn at #3. Ball State dropped behind Miami from #32 to #33. Arkansas State, previously ranked #72, jumped to #57 with the win.

Based on my rankings, I'd say the BCS got it right this year, as Auburn was #2 at the end of the regular season and only fell to #3 after Michigan State's bowl win. Congratulations to Florida State for winning the title, having a player win the Heisman Trophy, and putting an end to the SEC streak of 7 titles and the state of Alabama's streak of 4.

Next year, of course, we'll have a 4-team elimination tournament for the title. Florida State, Auburn, Michigan State, and Ohio State were my top 4 before the bowls, with Stanford, Missouri, Alabama, and Baylor at #5 through #8. I only list those because next year we'll go from arguing about the #3 team being left out, to the #5 team.

1Florida State14-0
2Michigan State13-1
3Auburn12-2
4Missouri12-2
5Ohio State12-2
6South Carolina11-2
7Stanford11-3
8Clemson11-2
9UCF12-1
10Alabama11-2
11Oklahoma11-2
12Baylor11-2
13Louisville12-1
14Oregon11-2
15Northern Illinois12-2
16Arizona State10-4
17UCLA10-3
18Fresno State11-2
19USC10-4
20LSU10-3
21Oklahoma State10-3
22Duke10-4
23Texas A&M9-4
24Washington9-4
25Notre Dame9-4
26East Carolina10-3
27Rice10-4
28Nebraska9-4
29Bowling Green10-4
30Wisconsin9-4
31Marshall10-4
32Miami (FL)9-4
33Ball State10-3
34Georgia8-5
35Navy9-4
36Virginia Tech8-5
37Arizona8-5
38Vanderbilt9-4
39Ole Miss8-5
40Utah State9-5
41Brigham Young8-5
42North Texas9-4
43Louisiana-Lafayette9-4
44Texas8-5
45Minnesota8-5
46Iowa8-5
47Kansas State8-5
48Houston8-5
49Mississippi State7-6
50Texas Tech8-5
51Pittsburgh7-6
52Boise State8-5
53Cincinnati9-4
54North Carolina7-6
55San Diego State8-5
56Michigan7-6
57Arkansas State8-5
58Georgia Tech7-6
59Oregon State7-6
60Western Kentucky8-4
61Toledo7-5
62Syracuse7-6
63Penn State7-5
64Boston College7-6
65Middle Tennessee8-5
66Buffalo8-5
67Tulane7-6
68UTSA7-5
69Colorado State8-6
70Maryland7-6
71Washington State6-7
72UNLV7-6
73San Jose State6-6
74Ohio7-6
75South Alabama6-6
76Utah5-7
77Louisiana-Monroe6-6
78Troy6-6
79Tennessee5-7
80Florida Atlantic6-6
81Indiana5-7
82Northwestern5-7
83Rutgers6-7
84Central Michigan6-6
85Texas State6-6
86Akron5-7
87Colorado4-8
88Florida4-8
89Southern Methodist5-7
90TCU4-8
91Wake Forest4-8
92Illinois4-8
93Wyoming5-7
94Nevada4-8
95West Virginia4-8
96Kent State4-8
97Arkansas3-9
98North Carolina State3-9
99Iowa State3-9
100Tulsa3-9
101Kansas3-9
102Memphis3-9
103Connecticut3-9
104Virginia2-10
105New Mexico3-9
106Louisiana Tech4-8
107Kentucky2-10
108South Florida2-10
109Army3-9
110UAB2-10
111California1-11
112New Mexico State2-10
113Eastern Michigan2-10
114Temple2-10
115Air Force2-10
116Purdue1-11
117UTEP2-10
118Hawaii1-11
119Idaho1-11
120Massachusetts1-11
121Western Michigan1-11
122Florida International1-11
123Southern Miss1-11
124Miami (OH)0-12


2013 History
Week 1
Week 2
Week 3
Week 4
Week 5
Week 6
Week 7
Week 8
Week 9
Week 10
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Week 18
Week 19

2014-01-06

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Wildcard Sunday

Seattle over Denver

San Diego beat Cincinnati convincingly, but San Francisco and Green Bay went down to the wire, and 3 out of the 4 Wild Card games finished with score differentials of 1, 2, and 3 points.

Seattle and Denver still sit atop the projections, but they'll actually have to play this week. They'll both host rematches from earlier this season, with Seattle stomping New Orleans, and Denver losing to San Diego in Denver this year. San Francisco travels to Carolina after losing against them at home this year, and in the only non-rematch, Indianapolis goes to New England.

I'll be rooting for Denver and Indianapolis, and I'll be a little ambivalent about both NFC games. I'll probably root for both NFC West teams, mostly so I can fool myself into feeling better about the Rams misfortunes, as two of their division rivals play for the NFC title next week.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA13-30.856+++70.07244.38031.060
DEN13-30.779+++70.50645.24820.657
CAR12-40.779+++51.30122.31813.030
SF12-40.770-++48.69920.58911.768
NO11-50.717-++29.92812.7136.417
NE12-40.695+++59.03926.8899.519
IND11-50.612+++40.96115.1754.203
SD9-70.596-++29.49412.6883.346

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]

2014-01-05

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Wildcard Saturday

Seattle over Denver

Somewhat interestingly, this is the same projection after Wildcard Saturday last year. However, last year Atlanta, Houston, and Washington were all still in the playoffs, with a combined 35 regular season wins.

Yesterday I didn't feel all that strongly about either game, but my chosen teams lost both of them. First, I stopped paying much attention to the Kansas City game after they were up by 28 points. I still had the game on TV, but I wasn't glued to the screen; I was able to take care of some things around the house. At one point I think I had a TV tuned to the game in 3 different rooms since I was moving around so much. Ultimately Indianapolis pulled out the win by a point, as I'm sure you know.

I like both Philadelphia and New Orleans, so I was mostly just hoping to watch a good game, but I decided I was rooting for Philadelphia, even though in my projections, they were underdogs. The game stayed close until the end and even though "my" team lost on a last-second field goal, it was a pretty good game overall.

Today I'm rooting for Green Bay over San Francisco, and San Diego over Cincinnati. What can I say, I like the underdogs this year.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA13-30.856+++70.09545.03430.903
DEN13-30.779+++71.85643.37219.854
CAR12-40.779+++57.36724.98014.195
SF12-40.770-+78.39938.15016.1418.959
CIN11-50.738++65.64936.29918.4677.470
NO11-50.718-++29.90513.0606.378
NE12-40.695+++51.02023.2988.288
SD9-70.596-+34.35110.1224.4801.195
IND11-50.572+++30.70210.3832.552
GB8-7-10.480++21.6014.4830.7840.207

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)
First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]

2014-01-04

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 19

The NCAA didn't have any late games, and the NFL is creeping into Saturday, so you get your Power Rankings a day early this week. I'm sure you're overjoyed.

Michigan State won against previously #5 Stanford to get a huge schedule strenght boost and jump ahead of Auburn, but Auburn was unlikely to finish at #2 anyway. A win against Florida State would likely vault them to #1, while a loss would drop them at least 1 spot, possibly more.

It just pains me to see Missouri all the way up at #4. A different turn of events in one OT game, and a better finish against Auburn would likely have had them at #1. But like I keep telling myself, there's a similar story for most teams near the top. For example, Michigan State would probably be 13-0 and waiting to play Monday night if not for a single 4-point loss to Notre Dame.

Once again the #111-114 teams shuffled around. California rose from #114 to #111, bumping Eastern Michigan to #113 and Temple to #114. New Mexico State held strong in the middle at #112.

1Florida State13-0
2Michigan State13-1
3Auburn12-1
4Missouri12-2
5Ohio State12-2
6South Carolina11-2
7Stanford11-3
8Clemson11-2
9UCF12-1
10Alabama11-2
11Oklahoma11-2
12Baylor11-2
13Louisville12-1
14Oregon11-2
15Northern Illinois12-2
16Arizona State10-4
17UCLA10-3
18Fresno State11-2
19USC10-4
20LSU10-3
21Oklahoma State10-3
22Duke10-4
23Texas A&M9-4
24Washington9-4
25Notre Dame9-4
26East Carolina10-3
27Rice10-4
28Nebraska9-4
29Bowling Green10-4
30Wisconsin9-4
31Marshall10-4
32Ball State10-2
33Miami (FL)9-4
34Georgia8-5
35Navy9-4
36Virginia Tech8-5
37Arizona8-5
38Vanderbilt9-4
39Ole Miss8-5
40Utah State9-5
41Brigham Young8-5
42North Texas9-4
43Texas8-5
44Minnesota8-5
45Iowa8-5
46Louisiana-Lafayette9-4
47Kansas State8-5
48Houston8-5
49Mississippi State7-6
50Texas Tech8-5
51Pittsburgh7-6
52Boise State8-5
53Cincinnati9-4
54North Carolina7-6
55San Diego State8-5
56Michigan7-6
57Georgia Tech7-6
58Oregon State7-6
59Western Kentucky8-4
60Toledo7-5
61Syracuse7-6
62Penn State7-5
63Boston College7-6
64Middle Tennessee8-5
65Buffalo8-5
66Tulane7-6
67UTSA7-5
68Colorado State8-6
69Maryland7-6
70Washington State6-7
71UNLV7-6
72Arkansas State7-5
73San Jose State6-6
74Ohio7-6
75Utah5-7
76South Alabama6-6
77Louisiana-Monroe6-6
78Troy6-6
79Florida Atlantic6-6
80Tennessee5-7
81Indiana5-7
82Northwestern5-7
83Rutgers6-7
84Central Michigan6-6
85Texas State6-6
86Akron5-7
87Colorado4-8
88Florida4-8
89Southern Methodist5-7
90TCU4-8
91Wake Forest4-8
92Illinois4-8
93Wyoming5-7
94Nevada4-8
95West Virginia4-8
96Kent State4-8
97Arkansas3-9
98North Carolina State3-9
99Iowa State3-9
100Tulsa3-9
101Kansas3-9
102Memphis3-9
103Connecticut3-9
104Virginia2-10
105New Mexico3-9
106Louisiana Tech4-8
107Kentucky2-10
108South Florida2-10
109Army3-9
110UAB2-10
111California1-11
112New Mexico State2-10
113Eastern Michigan2-10
114Temple2-10
115Air Force2-10
116Purdue1-11
117UTEP2-10
118Hawaii1-11
119Idaho1-11
120Massachusetts1-11
121Western Michigan1-11
122Florida International1-11
123Southern Miss1-11
124Miami (OH)0-12


2013 History
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Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Week 18

2014-01-02

eBay Wins #95

Today, I bring you two '90s.


No no, Kramer, not the decade. I have 2 cards from the 90s. 1990 to be precise.

1990 Topps #719 Wally Whitehurst
1990 Upper Deck #510 Dave Anderson
These were 2 more penny cards picked up in my quest to scrape the bottom of the eBay barrel. Still, they're not duplicates, so I figure, why not.

eBay Bargain Tracker
Total Cards Bought2513
Total Spent$43.96
Per Card1.749 cents