Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 13, Thursday

Seattle over Denver

Dallas, Detroit, and Baltimore all won their home Thanksgiving games, as I picked in my pick 'em pool. I'd guess most people did as well, though, except those who see "Steelers" and think of the dominant teams of the past. Even so, with the AFC's current records, 5-7 Pittsburgh has an 8.6% shot of still getting a wildcard.

No team has yet lowered their odds of missing the playoffs to under 1 in 10,000, but both Kansas City and Denver are close. whoever wins Sunday will be pushed near or past that mark.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	10-1	0.730	94.670	99.814	98.000	57.591	31.779	18.895
CAR	8-3	0.730	39.518	96.234	78.412	44.904	24.436	14.528
NO	9-2	0.700	60.482	98.543	85.363	45.888	22.888	12.813
KC	9-2	0.689	38.807	99.931	78.007	44.728	25.754	12.481
SF	7-4	0.685	4.966	71.641	47.376	21.998	10.547	5.715
DEN	9-2	0.683	61.190	99.903	85.358	48.931	27.831	13.306
CIN	7-4	0.641	86.629	92.535	65.658	34.178	16.769	7.237
NE	8-3	0.612	97.778	99.042	81.624	40.833	18.414	7.405
DET	7-5	0.571	76.744	78.077	31.124	10.770	3.948	1.667
ARI	7-4	0.567	0.358	21.408	11.224	3.805	1.367	0.571
DAL	7-5	0.546	75.544	77.003	28.069	9.052	3.141	1.251
BAL	6-6	0.533	11.287	36.192	15.616	5.829	2.270	0.744
PHI	6-5	0.531	24.411	30.153	11.513	3.550	1.171	0.449
STL	5-6	0.522	0.005	1.245	0.580	0.170	0.054	0.020
SD	5-6	0.518	0.003	8.930	3.848	1.369	0.509	0.160
TEN	5-6	0.510	6.954	24.899	10.140	3.526	1.290	0.398
IND	7-4	0.506	93.035	94.479	43.897	15.970	5.673	1.731
CHI	6-5	0.490	17.833	20.013	6.574	1.804	0.533	0.185
GB	5-6-1	0.479	5.422	5.798	1.748	0.465	0.135	0.046
PIT	5-7	0.469	1.972	8.594	3.080	0.949	0.319	0.088
MIA	5-6	0.465	1.796	26.674	10.247	3.101	1.014	0.276
BUF	4-7	0.426	0.301	3.849	1.272	0.335	0.100	0.024
TB	3-8	0.399	-	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
OAK	4-8	0.372	-	0.393	0.111	0.027	0.007	0.001
MIN	2-8-1	0.371	0.001	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
CLE	4-7	0.369	0.111	1.867	0.530	0.117	0.029	0.006
NYG	4-7	0.366	0.041	0.066	0.017	0.003	0.001	0.000
WAS	3-8	0.357	0.003	0.003	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000
ATL	2-9	0.351	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-9	0.325	0.006	0.008	0.002	0.000	0.000	0.000
NYJ	5-6	0.303	0.125	2.697	0.610	0.108	0.021	0.003
JAC	2-9	0.209	0.004	0.006	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]