Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 16, Sunday

Seattle over Denver

Seattle is still on top, though a San Francisco win tonight could put that in jeopardy next week. A San Francisco loss would clinch the NFC West for them. The Lions were eliminated by their loss, despite Green Bay and Chicago's losses, since they'll play each other this week and the winner will have 9 wins, or 8 wins and a tie.

On the AFC side, Denver already has a first round bye, and is the favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl. Pittsburgh stayed alive in the playoff race by virtue of losses by Miami and Baltimore, and wins by themselves and the Jets. 3 out of 4 of those were wins by underdogs in my ratings, so Pittsburgh's chances increased over 30-fold, from 0.3% to 9.3%

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	12-3	0.824	90.327	+	98.432	65.327	40.849	26.583
CAR	11-4	0.775	88.891	+	97.280	62.354	30.293	17.537
DEN	12-3	0.751	+	+	+	61.914	35.963	16.668
SF	10-4	0.748	9.673	94.423	72.483	31.734	15.453	8.388
KC	11-4	0.742	-	+	63.432	33.085	18.719	8.462
CIN	10-5	0.710	+	+	71.131	38.328	18.720	7.728
NO	10-5	0.675	11.109	94.173	65.113	23.581	8.907	4.051
NE	11-4	0.672	+	+	87.343	42.388	18.643	6.930
ARI	10-5	0.622	-	11.404	6.594	1.793	0.636	0.254
PHI	9-6	0.604	58.905	58.905	23.211	7.435	2.168	0.827
SD	8-7	0.591	-	7.055	2.873	0.952	0.363	0.108
IND	10-5	0.572	+	+	44.896	15.974	5.490	1.539
DET	7-8	0.538	-	-	-	-	-	-
DAL	8-7	0.515	41.095	41.095	12.220	2.943	0.688	0.208
STL	7-8	0.504	-	-	-	-	-	-
PIT	7-8	0.492	-	9.298	2.946	0.734	0.216	0.048
MIA	8-7	0.489	-	58.848	18.862	4.656	1.352	0.297
GB	7-7-1	0.471	51.712	51.712	12.772	2.526	0.550	0.146
BAL	8-7	0.466	-	24.798	8.518	1.969	0.534	0.109
CHI	8-7	0.454	48.288	48.288	11.895	2.305	0.457	0.116
TEN	6-9	0.451	-	-	-	-	-	-
BUF	6-9	0.427	-	-	-	-	-	-
ATL	4-10	0.355	-	-	-	-	-	-
MIN	4-10-1	0.353	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	4-11	0.333	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	4-11	0.332	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	4-11	0.296	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYG	6-9	0.290	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	3-12	0.282	-	-	-	-	-	-
NYJ	7-8	0.277	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-13	0.229	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	4-11	0.173	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]