2013-11-11

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 10, Sunday

Kansas City over Seattle

People keep saying Kansas City hasn't played anyone, but I've still got them as the strongest team due to their points scored and allowed. I guess next week's game with Denver should finally count as someone. For what it's worth, I currently have them with a 6.27% chance of going 16-0.

As for Sunday, the Rams stunned everyone to beat the Colts, but it may prove to be too late since they still have under a 1% chance of making the playoffs as a wildcard, and virtually no chance of catching 9-1 Seattle at 4-6. Jacksonville also won a road game against Tennessee, helped out by a QB injury. That leaves Tampa Bay as the only winless team. Of note, they didn't win the Superbowl in any of my simulations, which is why they have a dash instead of a 0.000 in the last column.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC9-00.71470.55999.96690.00456.85335.34719.453
CAR6-30.70643.28687.54469.46540.70522.46612.675
SEA9-10.70291.47499.64795.80456.53331.49617.618
NO7-20.67656.71391.45975.44941.62821.16711.201
DEN8-10.66429.43099.14071.92237.67820.59710.167
SF6-30.6468.40075.48148.56522.45810.7295.330
NE7-20.61692.25096.61677.82740.35518.0737.992
CIN6-40.60474.04281.29651.95324.84111.0234.738
GB5-40.56029.76938.53218.8807.0202.7501.127
IND6-30.55884.41888.19153.96623.2129.1573.529
DET6-30.54159.47971.47038.11613.7525.0561.978
DAL5-50.52861.91262.88124.2448.3863.0531.160
SD4-50.5200.01110.5834.7131.5730.6080.213
CHI5-40.52010.74720.3418.9992.9871.0610.395
PHI5-50.51534.23037.85614.8354.9371.7280.635
TEN4-50.50915.26028.39312.5634.3931.5960.542
BAL4-50.49811.97021.8259.1803.1481.1260.372
STL4-60.4790.0060.8320.3460.1010.0330.011
ARI5-40.4760.1219.9014.2441.2450.3970.132
MIA4-40.4734.45329.07612.7683.9381.3180.408
CLE4-50.44311.91719.7387.2682.1820.6740.192
PIT3-60.4192.0713.6991.1430.3040.0900.024
WAS3-60.4102.6122.7180.7470.1850.0490.013
MIN2-70.4030.0050.0100.0030.0010.0000.000
OAK3-60.3830.0001.5960.4910.1070.0290.007
BUF3-70.3820.1640.8400.2440.0540.0150.003
ATL2-70.3810.0010.0280.0090.0020.0000.000
NYJ5-40.3773.13218.4655.8111.3280.3400.079
TB0-80.3580.0000.0000.0000.0000.000-
HOU2-70.3550.3110.5610.1430.0310.0080.002
NYG3-60.3521.2451.3000.2960.0600.0130.003
JAC1-80.2510.0110.0140.0020.0000.0000.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]

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