Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Mid-Championship Sunday

Seattle over Denver

I'm sitting around without much to do, so I figured, why not throw out one more data point in my season-long projections, which are looking pretty good so far.

The AFC Championship started off slow, but Denver took a lead, started to eat the clock, and I'd say New England was never really a strong threat to make a comeback, except maybe when they had a chance at a 2 point conversion to get within 8 points with 3 minutes to go. Of course, that's easy to say since they didn't ultimately come back.

Seattle's and San Francisco's chances of winning the Super Bowl dimmed just slightly with the Denver win, since they'd have been more heavily favored against New England.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	13-3	0.856	+	+	+	+	63.936	40.106
DEN	13-3	0.779	+	+	+	+	+	42.333
SF	12-4	0.770	-	+	+	+	36.064	17.561

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)

First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)
First to 40% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Divisional Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]
[Wildcard Sunday]
[Divisional Saturday]
[Divisional Sunday]