Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Wildcard Sunday

Seattle over Denver

San Diego beat Cincinnati convincingly, but San Francisco and Green Bay went down to the wire, and 3 out of the 4 Wild Card games finished with score differentials of 1, 2, and 3 points.

Seattle and Denver still sit atop the projections, but they'll actually have to play this week. They'll both host rematches from earlier this season, with Seattle stomping New Orleans, and Denver losing to San Diego in Denver this year. San Francisco travels to Carolina after losing against them at home this year, and in the only non-rematch, Indianapolis goes to New England.

I'll be rooting for Denver and Indianapolis, and I'll be a little ambivalent about both NFC games. I'll probably root for both NFC West teams, mostly so I can fool myself into feeling better about the Rams misfortunes, as two of their division rivals play for the NFC title next week.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SEA	13-3	0.856	+	+	+	70.072	44.380	31.060
DEN	13-3	0.779	+	+	+	70.506	45.248	20.657
CAR	12-4	0.779	+	+	+	51.301	22.318	13.030
SF	12-4	0.770	-	+	+	48.699	20.589	11.768
NO	11-5	0.717	-	+	+	29.928	12.713	6.417
NE	12-4	0.695	+	+	+	59.039	26.889	9.519
IND	11-5	0.612	+	+	+	40.961	15.175	4.203
SD	9-7	0.596	-	+	+	29.494	12.688	3.346

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 15, Sunday)

First to 30% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 17, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a Playoff berth: Seattle (Week 13, Final)
First to clinch a First Round Bye: Denver (Week 16, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]
[Week 13, Sunday]
[Week 13, Final]
[Week 14, Thursday]
[Week 14, Sunday]
[Week 14, Final]
[Week 15, Thursday]
[Week 15, Sunday]
[Week 15, Final]
[Week 16, Sunday]
[Week 16, Final]
[Week 17, Final]
[Wildcard Saturday]