Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 10, Thursday

Kansas City over Seattle

I have to root against Washington this year, because their #1 draft pick belongs to the Rams. Thus, the worse they do, the better the Rams pick. So on that front, I was happy to see them lose in Minnesota, which is the second consecutive game to tighten the NFC North, though this one was by a much smaller margin. However, in my Pick'em league, I chose Washington, even though my formulas say Minnesota should have had over a 47% chance of winning on a neutral field. I should have trusted that homefield would at least make it even, and taken a shot on them, going against the 75% of the pool that chose Washington.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	9-0	0.714	77.279	99.913	91.316	57.692	35.470	20.810
CAR	5-3	0.689	46.357	74.301	55.589	32.893	18.650	10.134
SEA	8-1	0.664	81.658	98.905	90.063	50.438	27.482	14.168
DEN	7-1	0.648	22.541	95.207	63.005	31.115	16.190	8.301
SF	6-2	0.637	18.210	83.800	54.302	27.230	13.839	6.727
NO	6-2	0.633	53.605	80.735	60.487	31.682	15.690	7.556
NE	7-2	0.616	91.945	95.638	69.518	34.377	15.519	7.423
IND	6-2	0.613	87.594	93.208	67.616	33.052	14.840	7.047
CIN	6-3	0.608	85.762	89.239	58.460	27.798	12.411	5.829
DAL	5-4	0.585	84.269	85.036	44.295	19.791	8.831	3.821
GB	5-3	0.582	42.682	58.006	35.643	15.568	6.895	2.963
SD	4-4	0.537	0.179	16.065	7.092	2.526	1.006	0.401
DET	5-3	0.536	33.667	53.000	29.706	11.618	4.599	1.774
CHI	5-3	0.523	23.647	37.338	18.900	7.102	2.735	1.020
TEN	4-4	0.513	12.227	39.596	17.747	6.191	2.270	0.855
BAL	3-5	0.491	4.961	8.818	3.468	1.140	0.401	0.143
PHI	4-5	0.489	13.197	17.284	6.806	2.359	0.840	0.288
MIA	4-4	0.473	4.405	24.377	9.777	3.007	1.002	0.342
ARI	4-4	0.469	0.129	8.440	3.289	1.067	0.366	0.119
CLE	4-5	0.443	8.660	16.613	5.830	1.680	0.519	0.163
ATL	2-6	0.422	0.038	0.217	0.075	0.022	0.007	0.002
STL	3-6	0.420	0.003	0.225	0.075	0.021	0.006	0.002
WAS	3-6	0.409	1.950	2.081	0.615	0.173	0.050	0.014
BUF	3-6	0.409	0.595	2.544	0.774	0.191	0.055	0.016
MIN	2-7	0.403	0.004	0.011	0.003	0.001	0.000	0.000
PIT	2-6	0.398	0.617	1.074	0.306	0.075	0.021	0.006
OAK	3-5	0.391	0.001	2.740	0.808	0.186	0.050	0.014
NYJ	5-4	0.376	3.056	14.151	4.061	0.925	0.236	0.061
HOU	2-6	0.361	0.178	0.815	0.222	0.047	0.012	0.003
TB	0-8	0.358	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
NYG	2-6	0.350	0.583	0.621	0.151	0.035	0.008	0.002
JAC	0-8	0.266	0.001	0.002	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]