Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 13, Sunday

Carolina over Denver

For the day, Carolina is in the best position in the NFC. That may change whichever team wins Monday night, however, as both Seattle and New Orleans are also near the top.

Denver asserted its AFC West dominance, and Kansas City has now lost 3 in a row. That puts Denver at over 90% likely of winning their division, and they've cracked the 99.999% mark in playoff chances. Yet, it's still mathematically possible for 10-2 Denver to miss the playoffs, or 2-10 Houston to make it, though probably not both.

Tampa Bay and Washington were both officially eliminated by their losses and other teams' wins, and San Diego, St. Louis, Buffalo, Houston, and Jacksonville can no longer be division winners. Here's hoping Washington keeps careening downwards, as St. Louis will get their first round pick as part of the RGIII deal. If the standings are to be believed, Washington holds the anti-tiebreaker over the other 3-9 teams, and so is currently in position to get the #2 pick overall. Let's go Houston. And Atlanta, Tampa Bay, and Jacksonville for good measure.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
CAR	9-3	0.768	47.163	99.033	84.919	52.660	30.773	19.646
SEA	10-1	0.730	92.021	99.826	97.175	53.934	28.011	16.537
SF	8-4	0.706	7.908	87.646	60.263	29.230	13.914	7.826
NO	9-2	0.700	52.837	98.626	82.721	40.878	19.522	10.843
DEN	10-2	0.694	90.971	99.999	95.486	57.179	33.006	15.421
KC	9-3	0.673	9.029	99.885	64.057	33.451	18.201	8.062
CIN	8-4	0.659	92.749	97.136	70.530	38.043	19.428	8.324
NE	9-3	0.615	97.021	99.373	79.249	38.967	17.528	6.709
DET	7-5	0.571	85.476	85.643	30.423	9.950	3.494	1.460
ARI	7-5	0.560	0.071	6.510	3.315	1.083	0.358	0.146
DAL	7-5	0.546	65.742	67.158	22.596	6.905	2.274	0.896
PHI	7-5	0.537	34.214	40.401	14.433	4.308	1.363	0.525
BAL	6-6	0.533	6.538	37.089	15.449	5.568	2.158	0.664
IND	8-4	0.522	99.832	99.848	49.352	18.307	6.669	1.996
MIA	6-6	0.509	2.974	45.187	18.244	6.132	2.228	0.642
SD	5-7	0.504	-	2.286	0.885	0.309	0.108	0.031
STL	5-7	0.502	-	0.029	0.013	0.003	0.001	0.000
TEN	5-7	0.494	0.168	6.373	2.412	0.811	0.279	0.077
CHI	6-6	0.484	7.545	7.880	2.218	0.566	0.156	0.053
GB	5-6-1	0.479	6.976	7.170	1.903	0.480	0.133	0.044
PIT	5-7	0.469	0.710	9.592	3.428	1.024	0.339	0.087
BUF	4-8	0.422	-	1.723	0.556	0.139	0.041	0.009
NYG	5-7	0.377	0.043	0.076	0.019	0.004	0.001	0.000
OAK	4-8	0.372	-	0.518	0.139	0.034	0.008	0.002
MIN	3-8-1	0.372	0.003	0.003	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000
CLE	4-8	0.365	0.002	0.326	0.088	0.018	0.005	0.001
ATL	3-9	0.358	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	3-9	0.354	-	-	-	-	-	-
WAS	3-9	0.343	-	-	-	-	-	-
HOU	2-10	0.323	-	0.000	0.000	-	-	-
NYJ	5-7	0.263	0.005	0.659	0.122	0.018	0.003	0.000
JAC	3-9	0.205	-	0.007	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Seattle (Week 2, Sunday)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl Win: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Seattle (Week 3, Sunday)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 9, Sunday)

First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Denver (Week 13, Sunday)

First team eliminated: Atlanta (Week 12, Final)

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]
[Week 5, Final]
[Week 6, Thursday]
[Week 6, Sunday]
[Week 6, Final]
[Week 7, Thursday]
[Week 7, Sunday]
[Week 7, Final]
[Week 8, Thursday]
[Week 8, Sunday]
[Week 8, Final]
[Week 9, Thursday]
[Week 9, Monday]
[Week 9, Final]
[Week 10, Thursday]
[Week 10, Sunday]
[Week 10, Final]
[Week 11, Thursday]
[Week 11, Sunday]
[Week 11, Final]
[Week 12, Thursday]
[Week 12, Sunday]
[Week 12, Final]
[Week 13, Thursday]